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Investors More Bullish on Loncin Motor (SHSE:603766) This Week as Stock Jumps 14%, Despite Earnings Trending Downwards Over Past Five Years

Investors More Bullish on Loncin Motor (SHSE:603766) This Week as Stock Jumps 14%, Despite Earnings Trending Downwards Over Past Five Years

投資者對隆鑫通用(SHSE:603766)本週更看好,股價上漲14%,儘管過去五年收益走低
Simply Wall St ·  09/30 18:57

The worst result, after buying shares in a company (assuming no leverage), would be if you lose all the money you put in. But on the bright side, if you buy shares in a high quality company at the right price, you can gain well over 100%. Long term Loncin Motor Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603766) shareholders would be well aware of this, since the stock is up 125% in five years. Also pleasing for shareholders was the 18% gain in the last three months.

購買公司股票後最糟糕的結果(假設沒有槓桿)是您投入的所有資金都虧掉了。 但有個好消息是,如果您以合適的價格購買高質量公司的股票,您可以獲得超過100%的收益。長揸隆鑫通用股份有限公司(SHSE:603766)的股東會充分意識到這一點,因爲該股票五年上漲了125%。 過去三個月的18%漲幅也讓股東感到滿意。

The past week has proven to be lucrative for Loncin Motor investors, so let's see if fundamentals drove the company's five-year performance.

過去一週對隆鑫通用投資者來說證明是有利可圖的,因此讓我們看看基本面是否推動了公司五年的表現。

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

禾倫·巴菲特在他的文章《格雷厄姆與多德維爾的超級投資者》中描述了股票價格並不總是合理地反映了一家企業的價值。考慮市場對一家公司的看法如何轉變的一種不完美但簡單的方法,是將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價的動態進行比較。

Loncin Motor's earnings per share are down 5.3% per year, despite strong share price performance over five years.

儘管隆鑫通用股價在五年內表現強勁,但每股收益年均下降5.3%。

Essentially, it doesn't seem likely that investors are focused on EPS. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

實際上,投資者似乎並沒有關注EPS。由於EPS的變化似乎與股價的變化不相關,因此值得關注其他指標。

We doubt the modest 1.3% dividend yield is attracting many buyers to the stock. In contrast revenue growth of 5.8% per year is probably viewed as evidence that Loncin Motor is growing, a real positive. It's quite possible that management are prioritizing revenue growth over EPS growth at the moment.

我們懷疑僅有1.3%的股息率是否能吸引許多股票買家。相比之下,每年5.8%的營業收入增長可能被視爲隆鑫通用正在增長的證據,一個真正的積極因素。目前很有可能管理層正在優先考慮營業收入增長而非每股收益增長。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

以下圖像顯示了公司的營業收入和盈利(隨時間變化)(單擊以查看準確的數字)。

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SHSE:603766 Earnings and Revenue Growth September 30th 2024
SHSE:603766 盈利和營收增長2024年9月30日

We know that Loncin Motor has improved its bottom line lately, but what does the future have in store? So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts

我們知道隆鑫通用最近已改善了其底線,但未來會有怎樣的發展呢?因此,我們建議查看這份展示共識預測的免費報告。

What About Dividends?

那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Loncin Motor, it has a TSR of 146% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

在投資回報中,重要的是要考慮總股東回報(TSR)和股價回報之間的差異。TSR包括分拆或折價增資的價值,以及根據股息被再投資的假設。可以說TSR爲支付股息的股票提供了更完整的圖片。對於隆鑫通用來說,過去5年TSR爲146%。這超過了我們先前提到的股價回報。毫無疑問,股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧!

A Different Perspective

不同的觀點

It's good to see that Loncin Motor has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 38% in the last twelve months. Of course, that includes the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 20% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Loncin Motor you should be aware of.

很高興看到隆鑫通用在過去十二個月中用總股東回報率爲股東分紅派息38%。當然,這包括分紅派息。由於一年的TSR優於五年的TSR(後者爲每年20%),似乎股票的表現近期有所改善。鑑於股價勢頭仍然強勁,可能值得更仔細地觀察這支股票,以免錯失機會。我發現長期以來觀察股價作爲業務表現的替代方法非常有趣。但爲了真正獲得洞察,我們也需要考慮其他信息。舉個例子:我們已經發現了隆鑫通用的2個警示信號,您應該知曉。

But note: Loncin Motor may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

但請注意:隆鑫通用可能並不是最適合買入的股票。因此,請查看這份免費的有過往盈利增長(和進一步增長預測)的有趣公司名單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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