Zhejiang Meorient Commerce Exhibition Inc. (SZSE:300795) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 29% after a shaky period beforehand. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 23% over that time.
Even after such a large jump in price, Zhejiang Meorient Commerce Exhibition may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 26.6x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 30x and even P/E's higher than 58x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, Zhejiang Meorient Commerce Exhibition has been doing quite well of late. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company's earnings are going to fall away like everyone else's soon. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
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Is There Any Growth For Zhejiang Meorient Commerce Exhibition?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Zhejiang Meorient Commerce Exhibition would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 8.0%. However, due to its less than impressive performance prior to this period, EPS growth is practically non-existent over the last three years overall. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 35% each year during the coming three years according to the five analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 19% each year growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we find it odd that Zhejiang Meorient Commerce Exhibition is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.
The Bottom Line On Zhejiang Meorient Commerce Exhibition's P/E
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Zhejiang Meorient Commerce Exhibition's P/E close to the market median. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our examination of Zhejiang Meorient Commerce Exhibition's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. At least price risks look to be very low, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Zhejiang Meorient Commerce Exhibition (at least 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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