Aidigong Maternal & Child Health Limited (HKG:286) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 49% after a shaky period beforehand. Still, the 30-day jump doesn't change the fact that longer term shareholders have seen their stock decimated by the 81% share price drop in the last twelve months.
Although its price has surged higher, there still wouldn't be many who think Aidigong Maternal & Child Health's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.7x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Hong Kong's Healthcare industry is similar at about 0.9x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
SEHK:286 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 1st 2024
What Does Aidigong Maternal & Child Health's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Aidigong Maternal & Child Health over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Aidigong Maternal & Child Health, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Aidigong Maternal & Child Health?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Aidigong Maternal & Child Health would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 21% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 13% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 13% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this information, we find it concerning that Aidigong Maternal & Child Health is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
What We Can Learn From Aidigong Maternal & Child Health's P/S?
Aidigong Maternal & Child Health appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our look at Aidigong Maternal & Child Health revealed its shrinking revenues over the medium-term haven't impacted the P/S as much as we anticipated, given the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.
It is also worth noting that we have found 4 warning signs for Aidigong Maternal & Child Health (1 is significant!) that you need to take into consideration.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Aidigong Maternal & Child Health, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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