Can Mixed Fundamentals Have A Negative Impact on Zhejiang Zhengte Co., Ltd. (SZSE:001238) Current Share Price Momentum?
Can Mixed Fundamentals Have A Negative Impact on Zhejiang Zhengte Co., Ltd. (SZSE:001238) Current Share Price Momentum?
Most readers would already be aware that Zhejiang Zhengte's (SZSE:001238) stock increased significantly by 23% over the past three months. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. In this article, we decided to focus on Zhejiang Zhengte's ROE.
大多數讀者可能已經意識到,浙江正德(SZSE:001238)的股票在過去三個月內大幅上漲了23%。 但公司的關鍵財務指標似乎在全面出現差異,這讓我們懷疑公司當前的股價勢頭能否被維持。 在本文中,我們決定聚焦於浙江正德的roe。
ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.
ROE或股東權益報酬率是一種有用的工具,用於評估一家公司能否有效地利用來自股東的投資產生回報。換句話說,它揭示了公司將股東的投資變成利潤的成功程度。
How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?
怎樣計算ROE?
Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:
股東權益報酬率可以使用以下公式計算:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
淨資產收益率 = 淨利潤(從持續經營中獲得)÷ 股東權益
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Zhejiang Zhengte is:
所以,根據上述公式,浙江正德的roe爲:
1.4% = CN¥15m ÷ CN¥1.1b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).
1.4% = 人民幣1500萬 ÷ 人民幣11億(基於截至2024年6月的過去十二個月)。
The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.01 in profit.
「回報」指的是公司過去一年的收益。一種概念化的方法是,對於股東的每1元資本,公司盈利了0.01元。
What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?
ROE與盈利增長之間的關係是什麼?
Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.
到目前爲止,我們已經了解到roe是衡量公司利潤產生效率的指標。根據公司選擇再投資或「保留」其利潤的比例,我們隨後可以評估公司未來利潤的能力。其他條件都相同的情況下,roe和利潤保留率都較高的公司通常比沒有這些特徵的公司有更高的增長速度。
Zhejiang Zhengte's Earnings Growth And 1.4% ROE
浙江正特的盈利增長和1.4%的roe
It is hard to argue that Zhejiang Zhengte's ROE is much good in and of itself. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 10%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 26% seen by Zhejiang Zhengte over the last five years is not surprising. We believe that there also might be other aspects that are negatively influencing the company's earnings prospects. For instance, the company has a very high payout ratio, or is faced with competitive pressures.
很難說浙江正特的roe本身很好。即使與行業平均roe10%相比,公司的roe也相當糟糕。在這種情況下,浙江正特過去五年淨利潤下降26%並不令人意外。我們認爲公司的盈利前景可能還會受到其他負面影響。例如,公司的分紅比率很高,或者面臨競爭壓力。
That being said, we compared Zhejiang Zhengte's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 7.7% in the same 5-year period.
話雖如此,我們將浙江正特的表現與行業進行了比較,當發現公司減少盈利的同時,行業在同樣5年期間內以7.7%的速度增長盈利時,我們感到擔憂。
Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about Zhejiang Zhengte's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.
盈利增長是評估股票時需要考慮的重要指標。投資者接下來需要判斷的是,預期的盈利增長,或者其缺乏,是否已經融入了股價中。這有助於他們判斷股票是面臨光明還是黯淡的未來。如果您想了解浙江正特的估值情況,請查看其市盈率與所屬行業的比較。
Is Zhejiang Zhengte Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?
浙江正特是否有效利用其利潤?
Looking at its three-year median payout ratio of 40% (or a retention ratio of 60%) which is pretty normal, Zhejiang Zhengte's declining earnings is rather baffling as one would expect to see a fair bit of growth when a company is retaining a good portion of its profits. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.
觀察其三年的中位數派息比率爲40%(或保留比率爲60%),這是相當正常的。浙江正特收入減少的情況令人困惑,因爲人們本來期望在公司保留利潤的情況下會看到較大的增長。看起來可能有一些其他原因來解釋這方面的不足。例如,該業務可能正在衰退。
Additionally, Zhejiang Zhengte started paying a dividend only recently. So it looks like the management may have perceived that shareholders favor dividends even though earnings have been in decline.
此外,浙江正特最近才開始支付股息。因此,管理層似乎認爲股東更偏愛分紅,即使收入一直在下滑。
Summary
總的來說,我們對偉明環保的表現非常滿意。具體而言,我們喜歡公司以高回報率再投資了其利潤的很大一部分。當然,這導致公司的收益大幅增長。但是,最新的行業分析師預測表明,該公司的收益預計將加速增長。
Overall, we have mixed feelings about Zhejiang Zhengte. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. With that said, we studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that while the company has shrunk its earnings in the past, analysts expect its earnings to grow in the future. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.
總體而言,我們對浙江正泰有着複雜的感情。儘管它似乎保留了大部分利潤,但考慮到較低的roe,投資者可能並沒有從所有的再投資中獲益。低收益增長表明我們的理論是正確的。話雖如此,我們研究了最新的分析師預測,發現儘管公司過去收縮了其收益,分析師們預計其未來收益將增長。要了解更多關於該公司的最新分析師預測,請查看該公司的分析師預測的可視化。
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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。