Astro-century Education&Technology Co.,Ltd (SZSE:300654) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 30% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Longer-term shareholders would be thankful for the recovery in the share price since it's now virtually flat for the year after the recent bounce.
Following the firm bounce in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Astro-century Education&TechnologyLtd is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 7.3x, considering almost half the companies in China's Media industry have P/S ratios below 2.4x. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
What Does Astro-century Education&TechnologyLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?
Astro-century Education&TechnologyLtd has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. Perhaps the market is expecting this decent revenue performance to beat out the industry over the near term, which has kept the P/S propped up. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Astro-century Education&TechnologyLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Astro-century Education&TechnologyLtd would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 13%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 40% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenues over that time.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 13% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is pretty similar based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Astro-century Education&TechnologyLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Nevertheless, they may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
The Final Word
Astro-century Education&TechnologyLtd's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of Astro-century Education&TechnologyLtd revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't impacting its high P/S as much as we would have predicted, given they look similar to current industry expectations. When we see average revenue with industry-like growth combined with a high P/S, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, bringing the P/S back in line with the industry too. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Astro-century Education&TechnologyLtd with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
If you're unsure about the strength of Astro-century Education&TechnologyLtd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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