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Shareholders in HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments (HKG:2638) Are in the Red If They Invested Three Years Ago

Shareholders in HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments (HKG:2638) Are in the Red If They Invested Three Years Ago

如果三年前投資者投資於港燈-ss(HKG:2638),他們將虧損。
Simply Wall St ·  10/01 11:23

As an investor its worth striving to ensure your overall portfolio beats the market average. But the risk of stock picking is that you will likely buy under-performing companies. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments Limited (HKG:2638) shareholders, since the share price is down 31% in the last three years, falling well short of the market decline of around 1.2%.

作爲投資者,值得努力確保您的整體投資組合能超過市場平均水平。但股票選擇的風險在於您可能會買入表現不佳的公司。不幸的是,對於長揸港燈-ss(HKG:2638)股票的股東們來說,過去三年股價下跌了31%,遠遠低於市場跌幅約1.2%。

Now let's have a look at the company's fundamentals, and see if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business.

現在讓我們看看這家公司的基本面,看看長期股東回報是否與基礎業務的表現相匹配。

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

儘管一些人繼續教授有效市場假說,但已經證明市場是過度反應的動態系統,並且投資者並不總是理性的。通過比較每股收益(EPS)和股價的變化情況,我們可以了解投資者對公司的態度如何隨着時間變化而變化。

Although the share price is down over three years, HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments actually managed to grow EPS by 3.7% per year in that time. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Or else the company was over-hyped in the past, and so its growth has disappointed.

儘管股價在過去三年下跌,港燈-ss實際上在這段時間內每年成功增長了3.7%的每股收益。鑑於股價的反應,人們可能懷疑每股收益不是在此期間業務表現的良好指標(可能是由於一次性損益)。或者公司在過去被過度炒作,因此其增長令人失望。

It looks to us like the market was probably too optimistic around growth three years ago. However, taking a look at other business metrics might shed a bit more light on the share price action.

在我們看來,市場可能會過於樂觀地看待三年前的增長。但是,審視其他業務指標可能會對股價行動產生更多的啓示。

We note that the dividend seems healthy enough, so that probably doesn't explain the share price drop. HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments has maintained its top line over three years, so we doubt that has shareholders worried. So it might be worth looking at how revenue growth over time, in greater detail.

我們注意到分紅派息看起來足夠健康,這可能並不解釋股價下跌。港燈-ss在過去三年內保持了其營收水平,因此我們懷疑這是否讓股東們擔憂。因此值得更詳細地看看隨時間變化的營業收入增長情況。

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

您可以看到以下收益和營收的變化情況(通過單擊圖像了解精確值)。

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SEHK:2638 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 1st 2024
SEHK:2638收益和營業收入增長2024年10月1日

If you are thinking of buying or selling HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

如果您考慮購買或賣出港燈-ss股票,您應該查看這份關於其資產負債表的免費詳細報告。

What About Dividends?

那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments the TSR over the last 3 years was -18%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

在考慮投資回報時,重要的是要考慮總股東回報(TSR)與股價回報之間的差異。 TSR是一個考慮現金分紅價值(假設任何已收到的股息是再投資的)以及任何折扣資本增募和分拆計算價值的回報計算。可以說TSR提供了付息股票更全面的圖片。我們注意到,對於港燈-ss,過去3年的TSR爲-18%,這比上面提到的股價回報好。這在很大程度上是由其分紅支付所導致的!

A Different Perspective

不同的觀點

It's good to see that HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 25% in the last twelve months. Of course, that includes the dividend. There's no doubt those recent returns are much better than the TSR loss of 1.5% per year over five years. This makes us a little wary, but the business might have turned around its fortunes. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments (including 1 which is a bit concerning) .

很高興看到港燈-ss已經在過去十二個月裏爲股東回報了總股東回報率達25%。當然,這包括了分紅派息。 毫無疑問,最近的回報要比過去五年每年1.5%的總股東回報率損失好得多。這讓我們有點擔憂,但這家企業可能已經扭轉了命運。 我覺得長期關注股價作爲業務表現的一種替代方法非常有趣。但爲了真正獲得洞察,我們也需要考慮其他信息。爲此,您應該了解我們發現的港燈-ss存在的2個警示信號(其中有一個有點令人擔憂)。

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of undervalued companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

對於那些喜歡尋找獲勝投資的人來說,最近有內部購買的低估公司免費列表可能是一個很好的選擇。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了當前在香港證券交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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