The Liaoning Shenhua Holdings Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600653) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 26%. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 13% in the last twelve months.
Although its price has surged higher, it's still not a stretch to say that Liaoning Shenhua HoldingsLtd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.6x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Retail Distributors industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.4x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
How Has Liaoning Shenhua HoldingsLtd Performed Recently?
For example, consider that Liaoning Shenhua HoldingsLtd's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Liaoning Shenhua HoldingsLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Liaoning Shenhua HoldingsLtd?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Liaoning Shenhua HoldingsLtd's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 13%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 38% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 29% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that Liaoning Shenhua HoldingsLtd's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Bottom Line On Liaoning Shenhua HoldingsLtd's P/S
Liaoning Shenhua HoldingsLtd's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
We find it unexpected that Liaoning Shenhua HoldingsLtd trades at a P/S ratio that is comparable to the rest of the industry, despite experiencing declining revenues during the medium-term, while the industry as a whole is expected to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for Liaoning Shenhua HoldingsLtd that you should be aware of.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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