share_log

Shanghai Kaichuang Marine International Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600097) Financials Are Too Obscure To Link With Current Share Price Momentum: What's In Store For the Stock?

Shanghai Kaichuang Marine International Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600097) Financials Are Too Obscure To Link With Current Share Price Momentum: What's In Store For the Stock?

上海開創國際海洋有限公司(SHSE:600097)的財務狀況過於隱晦,無法與當前股價動能聯繫起來:這支股票未來將會如何?
Simply Wall St ·  2024/10/01 11:55

Shanghai Kaichuang Marine International (SHSE:600097) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 20% over the last week. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Shanghai Kaichuang Marine International's ROE today.

開創國際(SHSE:600097)股票在股市上表現強勁,股價在上週大幅上漲了20%。但該公司的關鍵財務指標似乎存在分歧,這讓我們對公司目前的股價勢頭能否持續產生了質疑。特別是,我們將關注開創國際今日的roe。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

股東必須考慮股本回報率或ROE,因爲它告訴他們公司如何有效地重新投資他們的資本。 簡而言之,ROE顯示每美元股東投資所產生的利潤。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何計算股東權益報酬率?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股東權益報酬率可以使用以下公式計算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

淨資產收益率 = 淨利潤(從持續經營中獲得)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shanghai Kaichuang Marine International is:

因此,根據上述公式,開創國際的roe爲:

7.7% = CN¥170m ÷ CN¥2.2b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

7.7% = 1.7億元人民幣 ÷ 220億元人民幣(基於過去12個月至2024年6月的數據)。

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.08 in profit.

「回報」是指公司在過去一年內的收益。可以這樣理解,對於每1元股東資本,公司的盈利爲0.08元人民幣。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

ROE爲什麼對淨利潤增長很重要?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

我們已經確定,ROE是公司未來賺錢能力的有效衡量標準。現在我們需要評估公司爲未來增長而再投資或「保留」的利潤。這樣,我們就能了解公司的增長潛力。一般而言,在其他條件相等的情況下,具有高淨資產收益率和利潤保留率的公司,比那些不具備這些特點的公司有更高的增長率。

Shanghai Kaichuang Marine International's Earnings Growth And 7.7% ROE

上海開創國際的收益增長和7.7%的roe

On the face of it, Shanghai Kaichuang Marine International's ROE is not much to talk about. However, given that the company's ROE is similar to the average industry ROE of 8.0%, we may spare it some thought. But Shanghai Kaichuang Marine International saw a five year net income decline of 8.8% over the past five years. Remember, the company's ROE is a bit low to begin with. So that's what might be causing earnings growth to shrink.

從表面上看,上海開創國際的roe沒有太多可談的。然而,考慮到公司的roe與8.0%的行業平均roe相似,我們可能要認真考慮一下。但是,上海開創國際在過去五年中淨利潤下降了8.8%。請記住,公司的roe起初就有點低。這可能是導致收益增長收縮的原因。

So, as a next step, we compared Shanghai Kaichuang Marine International's performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 1.6% over the last few years.

所以,作爲下一步,我們比較了上海開創國際與行業的表現,遺憾地發現,雖然公司一直在收縮其收益,但行業過去幾年的增長率達到1.6%。

big
SHSE:600097 Past Earnings Growth October 1st 2024
SHSE:600097 過往盈利增長 2024年10月1日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is Shanghai Kaichuang Marine International fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

收益增長是考量股票價值的重要指標。投資者需要判斷的是預期收益增長,或其缺乏,是否已經融入股價中。這有助於他們判斷股票是面臨光明未來還是暗淡前景。與其他公司相比,上海開創國際的估值是否合理?這3個估值指標可能會幫助你做出決定。

Is Shanghai Kaichuang Marine International Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

上海開創國際是否有效地利用其利潤?

Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 31% (where it is retaining 69% of its profits), Shanghai Kaichuang Marine International has seen a decline in earnings as we saw above. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

儘管上海開創國際的正常三年中位數分紅比率爲31%(保留其利潤的69%),但如上所述,其盈利出現下降。看起來可能還有其他原因可以解釋這種情況。例如,業務可能正在衰退。

Moreover, Shanghai Kaichuang Marine International has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.

此外,上海開創國際至少已經連續十年支付股息,這表明管理層認爲股東更傾向於股息而不是盈利增長。

Summary

總的來說,我們對偉明環保的表現非常滿意。具體而言,我們喜歡公司以高回報率再投資了其利潤的很大一部分。當然,這導致公司的收益大幅增長。但是,最新的行業分析師預測表明,該公司的收益預計將加速增長。

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Shanghai Kaichuang Marine International can be open to many interpretations. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. You can see the 3 risks we have identified for Shanghai Kaichuang Marine International by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

總的來說,我們認爲開創國際的業績可能會有很多種解讀。雖然公司的再投資率很高,但較低的roe意味着所有再投資並沒有給投資者帶來任何好處,而且對盈利增長產生了負面影響。總結一下,我們將謹慎對待這家公司,其中一種方法是查看其業務的風險配置文件。您可以免費訪問我們平台上的風險管理儀表板,了解我們爲開創國際確定的3個風險。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
    搶先評論