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We Think Tonghua Dongbao Pharmaceutical (SHSE:600867) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Tonghua Dongbao Pharmaceutical (SHSE:600867) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我們認爲通化東寶醫藥(SHSE:600867)可以繼續保持其債務的優勢
Simply Wall St ·  10/01 01:12

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Tonghua Dongbao Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600867) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

伯克希爾哈撒韋的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李錄在談到投資風險時毫不掩飾,他說:「最大的投資風險不是價格波動,而是你是否會遭受永久性資本損失。」 討論公司風險時,我們總是喜歡看它的負債使用情況,因爲負債過多可能導致滅亡。 與許多其他公司一樣,通化東寶藥業股份有限公司(SHSE:600867)正在利用債務。 但更重要的問題是:這些債務產生了多少風險?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什麼時候負債才是一個問題?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業發展的工具,但如果一家企業無法償還其貸款人,那麼它就處於貸款人的支配下。在最壞的情況下,如果一家公司無法償還其債權人,它就可能破產。雖然這不太常見,但我們經常看到負債公司永久性地稀釋股東,因爲貸款人強制它們以低於市價的價格募集資本。話雖如此,最常見的情況是公司合理地管理其債務,這對其本身是有利的。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,首先要做的是看其現金和債務是否合理。

What Is Tonghua Dongbao Pharmaceutical's Net Debt?

通化東寶藥業的淨債務是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2024 Tonghua Dongbao Pharmaceutical had CN¥359.0m of debt, an increase on CN¥70.0m, over one year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥512.4m in cash, leading to a CN¥153.4m net cash position.

您可以點擊下面的圖形查看歷史數據,截至2024年6月,通化東寶藥業的債務爲35900萬人民幣,比去年增加7000萬人民幣。 另一方面,它也有51240萬人民幣的現金,導致淨現金頭寸爲15340萬人民幣。

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SHSE:600867 Debt to Equity History October 1st 2024
SHSE:600867債務股本比歷史數據2024年10月1日

How Strong Is Tonghua Dongbao Pharmaceutical's Balance Sheet?

通化東寶製藥的資產負債表有多強?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Tonghua Dongbao Pharmaceutical had liabilities of CN¥406.8m due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥141.5m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥512.4m as well as receivables valued at CN¥614.8m due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥578.9m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,通化東寶製藥有短期到期的人民幣40680萬的負債,以及之後到期的人民幣14150萬的負債。 抵消這些義務的是,它持有的現金爲人民幣51240萬,以及價值人民幣61480萬的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。 所以它可以自豪地擁有比總負債多57890萬的流動資產。

This surplus suggests that Tonghua Dongbao Pharmaceutical has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Simply put, the fact that Tonghua Dongbao Pharmaceutical has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

這一盈餘表明通化東寶製藥擁有保守的資產負債表,很可能可以輕鬆清償債務。 簡而言之,通化東寶製藥擁有比債務還要多的現金可能是一個良好的跡象,表明其可以安全地管理債務。

In fact Tonghua Dongbao Pharmaceutical's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 23% in the last twelve months. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Tonghua Dongbao Pharmaceutical can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

事實上,通化東寶製藥的救命稻草是其低債務水平,因爲其EBIt在過去十二個月下跌了23%。 利潤下降(如果這一趨勢持續)最終可能使即使是小額債務變得相當風險。 在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是明顯的起點。 但最終,業務未來的盈利能力將決定通化東寶製藥是否能夠隨時間加強其資產負債表。 因此,如果您想了解專業人士的看法,您可能會發現對分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Tonghua Dongbao Pharmaceutical may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Looking at the most recent three years, Tonghua Dongbao Pharmaceutical recorded free cash flow of 32% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

但是我們的最終考慮也很重要,因爲一家公司不能用紙面利潤支付債務;它需要即冷又硬的現金。 通化東寶製藥的資產負債表上可能有淨現金,但查看業務將其盈利(利息及稅前利潤(EBIt))轉換爲自由現金流的能力會很有意思,因爲這將影響其管理債務的需求和能力。 查看最近的三年,通化東寶製藥自由現金流佔其 EBIt 的比例爲32%,這比我們預期的要弱。 這在還債時不是好跡象。

Summing Up

總之

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Tonghua Dongbao Pharmaceutical has CN¥153.4m in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. So we don't have any problem with Tonghua Dongbao Pharmaceutical's use of debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example Tonghua Dongbao Pharmaceutical has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.

雖然調查公司的債務是明智的,但在這種情況下,通化東寶藥業擁有15340萬人民幣的淨現金和一張看起來不錯的資產負債表。所以我們對通化東寶藥業的債務使用沒有任何問題。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但最終,每家公司都可能存在超出資產負債表範圍的風險。例如,通化東寶藥業有3個警示信號(還有一個有點不愉快),我們認爲您應該知道。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有興趣投資能夠在不負債的情況下增長利潤的企業,請查看這份免費列表,其中列出了在資產負債表上擁有淨現金的成長型企業。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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