CRRC (SHSE:601766) Hasn't Managed To Accelerate Its Returns
CRRC (SHSE:601766) Hasn't Managed To Accelerate Its Returns
If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. However, after investigating CRRC (SHSE:601766), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
如果您正在尋找一個能漲多倍的股票,有幾個要注意的事項。一個常見的方法是尋找一家資本利用率(ROCE)不斷提高,並且資本投入逐漸增加的公司。這表明該公司是一個複利機器,能夠持續將其收益再投入業務併產生更高的回報。然而,在調查中國中車(SHSE:601766)後,我們認爲它當前的趨勢不符合漲多倍的標準。
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
資本僱用回報率(ROCE)是什麼?
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on CRRC is:
如果您以前沒有接觸過ROCE,它衡量的是公司從資本中獲得的'回報'(稅前利潤)。在中國中車的計算公式是:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
資產僱用回報率(ROCE)是指企業利潤,即企業稅前利潤除以企業投入的總資本(負債加股權)。如果ROCE高於企業財務成本的承受能力,那麼企業就會創造出更多的價值。
0.071 = CN¥16b ÷ (CN¥479b - CN¥256b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).
0.071 = 160億人民幣 ÷ (4790億人民幣 - 256億人民幣)(截至2024年6月的過去十二個月)。
Thus, CRRC has an ROCE of 7.1%. In absolute terms, that's a low return, but it's much better than the Machinery industry average of 5.5%.
因此,中國中車的ROCE爲7.1%。就絕對值而言,這是一個較低的回報,但比機械行業平均水平5.5%要好得多。
Above you can see how the current ROCE for CRRC compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering CRRC for free.
從上面你可以看到中國中車目前的ROCE與其以往資本回報相比如何,但過去僅能告訴你這麼多。如果你願意,你可以免費查看覆蓋中國中車的分析師的預測。
What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us
儘管如此,當我們看 enphase energy (納斯達克股票代碼:ENPH) 的時候,它似乎並沒有完全符合這些要求。
There are better returns on capital out there than what we're seeing at CRRC. Over the past five years, ROCE has remained relatively flat at around 7.1% and the business has deployed 29% more capital into its operations. This poor ROCE doesn't inspire confidence right now, and with the increase in capital employed, it's evident that the business isn't deploying the funds into high return investments.
有更好的資本回報率表現在那裏,而不像我們在中國中車看到的那樣。在過去的五年中,ROCE保持相對穩定,約爲7.1%,業務投入的資本增加了29%。這種不佳的ROCE目前並未激發信心,而隨着投入資本的增加,顯而易見業務並未將資金投入高回報的投資中。
On a side note, CRRC's current liabilities are still rather high at 53% of total assets. This can bring about some risks because the company is basically operating with a rather large reliance on its suppliers or other sorts of short-term creditors. Ideally we'd like to see this reduce as that would mean fewer obligations bearing risks.
順便說一句,中國中車目前的流動負債仍然相當高,佔總資產的53%。這可能帶來一些風險,因爲公司基本上是在與其供應商或其他類型的短期債權人的相當大依賴下運營。理想情況下,我們希望看到這一減少,因爲這將意味着減少負擔風險。
The Bottom Line On CRRC's ROCE
關於中國中車的ROCE底線
In summary, CRRC has simply been reinvesting capital and generating the same low rate of return as before. And investors may be recognizing these trends since the stock has only returned a total of 29% to shareholders over the last five years. As a result, if you're hunting for a multi-bagger, we think you'd have more luck elsewhere.
總結一下,中國中車只是在重新投資資本,併產生與以前相同的低迴報率。投資者可能已經意識到這些趨勢,因爲過去五年股票僅爲股東帶來了總共29%的回報。因此,如果你正在尋找翻倍以上的投資機會,我們認爲你在其他地方可能會更幸運。
One more thing to note, we've identified 1 warning sign with CRRC and understanding it should be part of your investment process.
還有一件需要注意的事情是,我們已經確定了CRRC的1個警告信號,並且了解它應該是您的投資過程的一部分。
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group確實存在一些風險,我們已經發現了一條警示標誌,你可能會感興趣。對於那些喜歡投資於實力雄厚的公司的人,可以查看這個由財務狀況強大、股本回報率高的公司組成的免費列表。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。