The Three-year Loss for China Yongda Automobiles Services Holdings (HKG:3669) Shareholders Likely Driven by Its Shrinking Earnings
The Three-year Loss for China Yongda Automobiles Services Holdings (HKG:3669) Shareholders Likely Driven by Its Shrinking Earnings
Over the last month the China Yongda Automobiles Services Holdings Limited (HKG:3669) has been much stronger than before, rebounding by 40%. But only the myopic could ignore the astounding decline over three years. To wit, the share price sky-dived 84% in that time. So it sure is nice to see a bit of an improvement. Only time will tell if the company can sustain the turnaround. While a drop like that is definitely a body blow, money isn't as important as health and happiness.
過去一個月,中國永達汽車服務控股有限公司(HKG:3669)的表現比以前要強很多,回升了40%。但只有目光短淺的人才會忽視過去三年驚人的下跌。換句話說,股價在那段時間暴跌了84%。所以看到有一點改善確實令人高興。只有時間才能告訴我們公司是否能夠維持這種好轉。雖然股價暴跌確實是個沉重打擊,但金錢並不像健康和幸福重要。
While the last three years has been tough for China Yongda Automobiles Services Holdings shareholders, this past week has shown signs of promise. So let's look at the longer term fundamentals and see if they've been the driver of the negative returns.
過去三年對於中國永達汽車服務控股股東來說是艱難的,但上週顯示出了一些希望的跡象。讓我們看看長期基本面是否已經成爲負回報的主要推手。
To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
引用巴菲特的話,「船隻會在世界各地航行,但扁平地球協會將空前盛行。市場上的價格和價值將繼續存在巨大差異… 」檢查市場情緒如何隨時間變化的一種方法是查看公司的股價與每股收益(EPS)之間的互動。
China Yongda Automobiles Services Holdings saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 49% per year, over the last three years. This change in EPS is reasonably close to the 45% average annual decrease in the share price. That suggests that the market sentiment around the company hasn't changed much over that time, despite the disappointment. It seems like the share price is reflecting the declining earnings per share.
在過去三年裏,中國永達汽車服務控股的每股收益以49%的複合速率下降。這種每股收益的變化與股價每年平均下跌45%的幅度相當接近。這表明儘管令人失望,但市場對該公司的情緒在那段時間內並沒有發生太大變化。似乎股價正在反映每股收益的下降。
The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
下圖顯示了EPS隨時間的變化情況(如果您單擊該圖像,則可以查看更多詳細信息)。
Dive deeper into China Yongda Automobiles Services Holdings' key metrics by checking this interactive graph of China Yongda Automobiles Services Holdings's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
通過查看中國永達汽車服務控股有限公司的收益、營業收入和現金流的交互圖表,深入了解中國永達汽車服務控股有限公司的關鍵指標。
What About Dividends?
那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for China Yongda Automobiles Services Holdings the TSR over the last 3 years was -79%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
投資者除了衡量股價回報外,還應考慮總股東回報率(TSR)。股價回報只反映了股價變化,而TSR包括分紅的價值(假設它們被再投資)以及任何折扣的資本募集或分拆的好處。可以說TSR提供了更全面的股票回報畫面。我們注意到,對於中國永達汽車服務控股有限公司來說,過去3年的TSR爲-79%,比上述股價回報要好。這在很大程度上是由於其分紅支付所致!
A Different Perspective
不同的觀點
While the broader market gained around 22% in the last year, China Yongda Automobiles Services Holdings shareholders lost 34% (even including dividends). However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 10% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with China Yongda Automobiles Services Holdings , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
儘管更廣泛的市場在過去一年中增長了約22%,中國永達汽車服務控股有限公司的股東卻損失了34%(即使包括分紅在內)。然而,記住,即使是最好的股票有時也會在十二個月的期間表現不佳。不幸的是,去年的表現可能表明未解決的挑戰,因爲它比過去半個世紀的年化損失10%更糟。我們意識到,羅斯柴爾德男爵曾說過投資者應該"在街道上出現血跡時買入",但我們警告投資者先要確信他們正在購買一個高質量的企業。儘管考慮市場狀況對股價的不同影響是值得的,但還有其他更重要的因素。比如,投資風險始終存在。我們已經確定了中國永達汽車服務控股有限公司的2個警示信號,理解它們應該成爲您投資過程的一部分。
If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
如果您願意查看另一家公司(具有潛在的更好財務狀況),請不要錯過這個免費的公司列表,證明它們可以增長收益。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了當前在香港證券交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。