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Sinomach General Machinery Science & Technology Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600444) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?

Sinomach General Machinery Science & Technology Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600444) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?

中國機械科技總公司(SHSE:600444)的股票表現強勁,但基本面看起來不確定:未來會怎樣?
Simply Wall St ·  10/01 03:23

Sinomach General Machinery Science & TechnologyLtd's (SHSE:600444) stock is up by a considerable 25% over the past month. However, we decided to pay attention to the company's fundamentals which don't appear to give a clear sign about the company's financial health. Specifically, we decided to study Sinomach General Machinery Science & TechnologyLtd's ROE in this article.

中機通用機械科技有限公司(SHSE:600444)的股票在過去一個月內上漲了相當多的25%。然而,我們決定關注公司的基本面,這並沒有提供關於公司財務健康狀況的明確跡象。具體來說,我們決定在本文中研究中機通用機械科技有限公司的roe。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

股本回報率或ROE是一項用於評估公司管理層如何利用公司資本的效率的關鍵指標。簡而言之,它用於評估公司相對於其股本資本的盈利能力。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何計算股東權益報酬率?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

淨資產收益率可以使用以下公式進行計算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

淨資產收益率 = 淨利潤(從持續經營中獲得)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Sinomach General Machinery Science & TechnologyLtd is:

因此,根據上述公式,中機通用機械科技有限公司的roe爲:

6.2% = CN¥43m ÷ CN¥691m (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

6.2% = 4.3億元人民幣 ÷ 6.91億元人民幣(截至2024年6月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.06 in profit.

『收益』指的是公司過去一年的收入。可以從另一個角度來理解,對於每1元人民幣的股東資本,該公司將獲得0.06元人民幣的利潤。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

roe與盈利增長有何關係?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

到目前爲止,我們已經學到 ROE(淨資產收益率)可以衡量公司盈利的效率。具體取決於公司再投資或「保留」多少這些利潤,以及其有效程度,我們便能夠評估公司的盈利增長潛力。假設其他條件相同,ROE和利潤保留率都較高的公司通常比不具備這些特徵的公司增長率更高。

A Side By Side comparison of Sinomach General Machinery Science & TechnologyLtd's Earnings Growth And 6.2% ROE

中國機械工程科技股份有限公司的利潤增長和6.2%的roe的並排比較

On the face of it, Sinomach General Machinery Science & TechnologyLtd's ROE is not much to talk about. However, given that the company's ROE is similar to the average industry ROE of 7.2%, we may spare it some thought. But Sinomach General Machinery Science & TechnologyLtd saw a five year net income decline of 4.7% over the past five years. Remember, the company's ROE is a bit low to begin with. Hence, this goes some way in explaining the shrinking earnings.

乍一看,中國機械工程科技股份有限公司的roe並不值得一提。然而,考慮到公司的roe與平均行業roe相似,我們可能需要多考慮一下。但中國機械工程科技股份有限公司在過去五年內淨利潤下降了4.7%。請記住,公司的roe本來就有點低。因此,這在一定程度上解釋了收益的縮水。

So, as a next step, we compared Sinomach General Machinery Science & TechnologyLtd's performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 2.5% over the last few years.

因此,作爲下一個步驟,我們將中國機械工程科技股份有限公司的表現與行業進行了比較,令人失望的是,儘管公司一直在減少其收益,但行業在過去幾年裏以2.5%的速度增長其收益。

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SHSE:600444 Past Earnings Growth October 1st 2024
SHSE:600444 2024年10月1日過去的盈利增長

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is Sinomach General Machinery Science & TechnologyLtd fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

盈利增長是估值股票時要考慮的重要指標。投資者應該嘗試確定市場是否已經反映了預期的收益增長或下降,通過這樣做,他們就可以大概了解股票是買入還是賣出。這樣他們就能知道股票是走向清澈的海水還是等待着泥濘的水域。與其他公司相比,中機重工科技股份有限公司是否被合理估值?這3個估值指標可能會幫助您做出決定。

Is Sinomach General Machinery Science & TechnologyLtd Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

中機重工科技股份有限公司是否高效利用其利潤?

In spite of a normal three-year median payout ratio of 39% (that is, a retention ratio of 61%), the fact that Sinomach General Machinery Science & TechnologyLtd's earnings have shrunk is quite puzzling. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

儘管中機重工科技股份有限公司的正常三年中位數分紅比率爲39%(即留存比率爲61%),但該公司的淨利潤縮水令人困惑。因此,在這方面可能有一些其他解釋。例如,公司的業務可能正在惡化。

Additionally, Sinomach General Machinery Science & TechnologyLtd has paid dividends over a period of five years, which means that the company's management is rather focused on keeping up its dividend payments, regardless of the shrinking earnings.

此外,中機重工科技股份有限公司在過去五年內支付了股息,這意味着公司管理層更關注維持股息支付,而不是關注萎縮的利潤。

Conclusion

結論

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Sinomach General Machinery Science & TechnologyLtd can be open to many interpretations. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. To know the 4 risks we have identified for Sinomach General Machinery Science & TechnologyLtd visit our risks dashboard for free.

總的來說,我們認爲中機通用機械科技股份有限公司的業績可以有多種解讀。雖然該公司具有較高的再投資率,但低roe意味着所有的再投資並未給投資者帶來任何益處,而且對收益增長產生了負面影響。總結起來,我們將謹慎對待這家公司,而一種方法是查看該業務的風險概況。要了解我們爲中機通用機械科技股份有限公司確定的4種風險,請免費訪問我們的風險儀表板。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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