Qinghai Jinrui Mineral Development (SHSE:600714) Investors Are up 19% in the Past Week, but Earnings Have Declined Over the Last Five Years
Qinghai Jinrui Mineral Development (SHSE:600714) Investors Are up 19% in the Past Week, but Earnings Have Declined Over the Last Five Years
Generally speaking the aim of active stock picking is to find companies that provide returns that are superior to the market average. And while active stock picking involves risks (and requires diversification) it can also provide excess returns. For example, the Qinghai Jinrui Mineral Development Co., Ltd (SHSE:600714) share price is up 41% in the last 5 years, clearly besting the market return of around 18% (ignoring dividends).
一般來說,積極選股的目的是找到提供超過市場平均回報的公司。儘管積極選股涉及風險(需要分散投資),但也可能帶來額外的回報。例如,金瑞礦業(SHSE:600714)股價在過去5年上漲了41%,明顯優於市場回報約18%(不考慮股息)。
The past week has proven to be lucrative for Qinghai Jinrui Mineral Development investors, so let's see if fundamentals drove the company's five-year performance.
過去的一週對於金瑞礦業的投資者來說是有利可圖的,讓我們看看是什麼基本因素推動了該公司的五年表現。
Given that Qinghai Jinrui Mineral Development only made minimal earnings in the last twelve months, we'll focus on revenue to gauge its business development. Generally speaking, we'd consider a stock like this alongside loss-making companies, simply because the quantum of the profit is so low. For shareholders to have confidence a company will grow profits significantly, it must grow revenue.
考慮到金瑞礦業在過去12個月中僅獲得了微薄的利潤,我們將專注於營業收入來評估其業務發展。一般來說,我們會將這樣的股票與虧損公司一起考慮,這僅僅是因爲利潤量如此之低。股東要對公司會顯著增長利潤有信心,公司必須增加營業收入。
In the last 5 years Qinghai Jinrui Mineral Development saw its revenue grow at 15% per year. That's a pretty good long term growth rate. While the share price has beat the market, compounding at 7% yearly, over five years, there's certainly some potential that the market hasn't fully considered the growth track record. The key question is whether revenue growth will slow down, and if so, how quickly. Lack of earnings means you have to project further into the future justify the valuation on the basis of future free cash flow.
在過去的5年裏,金瑞礦業每年的營業收入增長率爲15%。這是一個相當不錯的長期增長率。雖然股價超過了市場,在過去五年中以年均7%的速度複利增長,但市場尚未完全考慮到其增長記錄,肯定存在一些潛力。關鍵問題是,營業收入增長是否會放緩,如果是,放緩速度如何。缺乏盈利意味着您必須進一步預測未來,以未來的自由現金流爲基礎來證明估值的合理性。
The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
下圖顯示了收益和營收隨時間變化的情況(如果你點擊圖像,可以看到更多細節):
It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Qinghai Jinrui Mineral Development's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
值得注意的是,這家公司的CEO的薪酬低於類似規模公司的中位數。但是CEO的薪酬雖然值得關注,但真正重要的問題是這家公司未來是否能夠增長收益。查看我們的有關青海金瑞礦業收益、營業收入和自由現金流的免費報告可能非常值得一看。
A Different Perspective
不同的觀點
While the broader market gained around 3.3% in the last year, Qinghai Jinrui Mineral Development shareholders lost 7.9% (even including dividends). However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 7% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Qinghai Jinrui Mineral Development (including 1 which is significant) .
儘管廣泛市場在過去一年內上漲約3.3%,青海金瑞礦業的股東虧損了7.9%(包括分紅)。但請記住,即使最好的股票有時也會在十二個月的時間內表現不佳。從積極的一面來看,長期股東已經賺了錢,在過去半個世紀每年增長7%。最近的拋售可能是一個機會,因此也許值得查看基本數據以尋找長期增長趨勢的跡象。我發現長期股價作爲業績的一種替代指標非常有趣。但爲了真正獲得洞察力,我們還需要考慮其他信息。爲此,您應該了解我們在青海金瑞礦業發現的2個警示標誌(其中1個是重要的)。
For those who like to find winning investments this free list of undervalued companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.
對於那些喜歡尋找獲勝投資的人來說,最近有內部購買的低估公司免費列表可能是一個很好的選擇。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。