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- 澳優乳製品股份有限公司(HKG:1717)股價大漲26%,看起來正合適
Ausnutria Dairy Corporation Ltd (HKG:1717) Looks Just Right With A 26% Price Jump
Ausnutria Dairy Corporation Ltd (HKG:1717) Looks Just Right With A 26% Price Jump
Ausnutria Dairy Corporation Ltd (HKG:1717) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 26% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 17% over that time.
After such a large jump in price, given close to half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 9x, you may consider Ausnutria Dairy as a stock to avoid entirely with its 28x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Ausnutria Dairy hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
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What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Ausnutria Dairy's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 31% decrease to the company's bottom line. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 89% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the five analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 51% per annum over the next three years. With the market only predicted to deliver 12% per annum, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
In light of this, it's understandable that Ausnutria Dairy's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Key Takeaway
Ausnutria Dairy's P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Ausnutria Dairy maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with Ausnutria Dairy.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Ausnutria Dairy. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
澳優乳業股份有限公司(HKG:1717)的股東們會對股價在一個月內飆升26%並從先前的疲軟中恢復感到興奮。不幸的是,上個月的漲幅對去年的虧損幾乎沒有補償,股價仍比上一年下跌了17%。
在價格大幅上漲之後,鑑於香港近一半公司的市盈率(或「P/E」)低於9倍,您可能認爲澳優乳業是一隻完全需避免的股票,因爲其市盈率爲28倍。但是,市盈率可能相對較高是有原因的,需要進一步調查來判斷是否合理。
近期澳優乳業的業績表現不佳,因其收益下降與其他公司相比表現不佳。可能許多人預計黯淡的收益表現將大幅恢復,這一預期使市盈率沒有崩盤。希望如此,否則你將爲沒有特定原因支付相當昂貴的價格。
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增長指標告訴我們關於高市盈率的什麼?
唯一當您真正願意看到澳優乳業的市盈率如此之高時,是因爲公司的增長正朝着明顯超越市場的方向發展。
回顧過去一年,公司的底線利潤下降了令人沮喪的31%。因此,三年前的收益總體也下降了89%。因此,股東們可能對中期收益增長速度感到沮喪。
展望未來,涵蓋該公司的五位分析師的估計表明,未來三年的收益預計每年將增長51%。由於市場預計僅每年增長12%,該公司將獲得更強勁的收益結果。
考慮到這一點,可以理解澳優乳業的市盈率高於大多數其他公司。大多數投資者似乎期待着這種強勁的未來增長,並願意爲這支股票支付更高的價格。
重要提示
澳優乳業的市盈率高得像它在過去一個月內的股價一樣飛漲。我們認爲市盈率的力量主要不在於作爲估值工具,而是用來衡量當前投資者情緒和未來預期。
我們已經確定,澳優乳業保持高市盈率的原因是預期增長速度高於整體市場,這是意料之中的。目前股東對市盈率感到滿意,因爲他們相當確信未來收益不會受到威脅。在這種情況下,很難看到股價在短期內大幅下跌。
另外,您還應該了解一下,我們發現了澳優乳業存在一個警示信號。
當然,您可能會找到比澳優乳業更好的股票。因此,您可能希望查看這些具有合理市盈率並且收益增長強勁的其他公司的免費收藏。
對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。
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Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Moomoo Securities Australia Limited, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
風險及免責聲明
moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融資訊和交易應用程式。
在美國,moomoo上的投資產品和服務由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美國證券交易委員會(SEC)監管的持牌主體。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融業監管局(FINRA)和證券投資者保護公司(SIPC)的成員。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是通過Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,該公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)監管(牌照號碼︰CMS101000) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMS) ,持有財務顧問豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)資質。本內容未經新加坡金融管理局的審查。
在澳大利亞,moomoo上的金融產品和服務是通過Moomoo Securities Australia Limited提供,該公司是受澳大利亞證券和投資委員會(ASIC)監管的澳大利亞金融服務許可機構(AFSL No. 224663)。請閱讀並理解我們的《金融服務指南》、《條款與條件》、《隱私政策》和其他披露文件,這些文件可在我們的網站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中獲取。
在加拿大,透過moomoo應用程式提供的僅限訂單執行的券商服務由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,並受加拿大投資監管機構(CIRO)監管。
在馬來西亞,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是透過Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,該公司受馬來西亞證券監督委員會(SC)監管(牌照號碼︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMSL) 。本內容未經馬來西亞證券監督委員會的審查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Moomoo Securities Australia Limited, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
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