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Nanjing Port Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002040) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

Nanjing Port Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002040) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

南京港股份有限公司(SZSE:002040)的股票價格大漲,但財務狀況看似模棱兩可:動能能否持續?
Simply Wall St ·  10/02 06:25

Nanjing Port's (SZSE:002040) stock is up by a considerable 21% over the past month. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. Specifically, we decided to study Nanjing Port's ROE in this article.

南京港(SZSE:002040)的股票在過去一個月內上漲了可觀的21%。 但是公司的關鍵財務指標似乎在各方面存在差異,這讓我們懷疑公司當前的股價動量是否能夠維持。 具體來說,我們決定在本文中研究南京港的roe。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

股東權益回報率(ROE)是測試公司如何有效地增加其價值並管理投資者資金的指標。簡而言之,它用於評估公司相對於股本資本的盈利能力。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

怎樣計算ROE?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股東權益報酬率可以使用以下公式計算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

淨資產收益率 = 淨利潤(從持續經營中獲得)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Nanjing Port is:

因此,根據上述公式,南京港的ROE爲:

5.6% = CN¥216m ÷ CN¥3.9b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

5.6% = 2.16億人民幣 ÷ 390億人民幣(截至2024年6月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.06 in profit.

「收益率」是公司在過去12個月稅後盈利金額。可以這樣理解,對於每1元股東資本,公司賺得0.06元利潤。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

ROE與盈利增長之間的關係是什麼?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

我們已經確定ROE作爲一個高效的盈利規模可以評估公司未來的收益。根據公司選擇再投資或保留多少利潤,我們可以評估公司未來盈利的能力。假設其他所有條件均保持不變,ROE和利潤留存率越高,相對於沒有這些特點的公司,公司的增長率就越高。

Nanjing Port's Earnings Growth And 5.6% ROE

南京港的收益增長和5.6%的roe

When you first look at it, Nanjing Port's ROE doesn't look that attractive. However, given that the company's ROE is similar to the average industry ROE of 6.2%, we may spare it some thought. Having said that, Nanjing Port has shown a meagre net income growth of 3.1% over the past five years. Bear in mind, the company's ROE is not very high . So this could also be one of the reasons behind the company's low growth in earnings.

當你第一次看到它時,南京港的roe並不那麼吸引人。然而,考慮到公司的roe與6.2%的行業平均roe相似,我們可以稍加考慮。話雖如此,南京港過去五年的淨利潤增長率僅爲3.1%。請牢記,公司的roe並不是很高。因此,這也可能是公司收益增長較低的原因之一。

As a next step, we compared Nanjing Port's net income growth with the industry and were disappointed to see that the company's growth is lower than the industry average growth of 6.0% in the same period.

作爲下一步,我們將南京港的淨利潤增長與行業進行了比較,令人失望的是,該公司的增長低於同期行業平均增長率6.0%。

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SZSE:002040 Past Earnings Growth October 1st 2024
SZSE:002040過去的收益增長2024年10月1日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is Nanjing Port fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

盈利增長是股票估值中的重要因素。投資者應該嘗試確定預期的盈利增長或下降,無論哪種情況,是否已經反映在股價中。通過這樣做,他們將會了解股票是走向清晰的藍海,還是沼澤水域。南京港相對於其他公司是否定價合理?這3個估值指標可能會幫助您做出決策。

Is Nanjing Port Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

南京港是否有效利用留存盈利?

Nanjing Port has a low three-year median payout ratio of 23% (meaning, the company keeps the remaining 77% of profits) which means that the company is retaining more of its earnings. However, the low earnings growth number doesn't reflect this as high growth usually follows high profit retention. Therefore, there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

南京港的三年中位支付比率爲23%(意味着公司保留了剩餘的77%利潤),這意味着公司保留了更多盈利。然而,低盈利增長數字並不反映這一點,因爲高盈利保留通常伴隨着高增長。因此,可能有一些其他原因來解釋這種情況的欠缺。例如,業務可能正在下滑。

Moreover, Nanjing Port has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.

此外,南京港至少已經連續分紅十年或更長時間,這表明管理層必須認爲股東更喜歡股利而不是盈利增長。

Conclusion

結論

Overall, we have mixed feelings about Nanjing Port. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct.

總體而言,我們對南京港有着複雜的看法。儘管它似乎保留了大部分利潤,但由於roe較低,投資者可能並未從所有再投資中受益。低收益增長率表明我們的理論是正確的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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