Poly Union Chemical Holding Group (SZSE:002037) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?
Poly Union Chemical Holding Group (SZSE:002037) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Poly Union Chemical Holding Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002037) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
禾倫·巴菲特曾說過一句名言:「波動性遠非風險的代名詞。」當我們考慮一家公司的風險時,我們總是喜歡考慮其債務的用途,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。重要的是,保利聯合化學控股集團有限公司(深圳證券交易所:002037)確實有債務。但是這筆債務是股東關心的問題嗎?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
債務會帶來什麼風險?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
債務爲企業提供幫助,直到企業難以用新的資本或自由現金流還清債務。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。但是,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東,這樣才能控制債務。當然,債務的好處是它通常代表廉價資本,尤其是當它用高回報率進行再投資的能力取代了公司的稀釋時。考慮公司債務水平的第一步是將其現金和債務放在一起考慮。
What Is Poly Union Chemical Holding Group's Debt?
保利聯合化學控股集團的債務是多少?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Poly Union Chemical Holding Group had CN¥6.43b in debt in June 2024; about the same as the year before. However, it also had CN¥1.35b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥5.08b.
您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳情,該圖表顯示,保利聯合化學控股集團在2024年6月的債務爲64.3元人民幣;與前一年大致相同。但是,它也有13.5元人民幣的現金,因此其淨負債爲50.8元人民幣。
How Strong Is Poly Union Chemical Holding Group's Balance Sheet?
保利聯合化學控股集團的資產負債表有多強?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Poly Union Chemical Holding Group had liabilities of CN¥10.8b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥3.19b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.35b as well as receivables valued at CN¥7.40b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥5.28b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
我們可以從最新的資產負債表中看出,保利聯合化學控股集團的負債爲108元人民幣,一年後到期的負債爲31.9元人民幣。除了這些債務外,它還有13.5元人民幣的現金和價值74元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總額高出52.8元人民幣。
Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of CN¥3.88b, we think shareholders really should watch Poly Union Chemical Holding Group's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Poly Union Chemical Holding Group will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
鑑於這一赤字實際上高於公司38.8元人民幣的市值,我們認爲股東們確實應該關注保利聯合化學控股集團的債務水平,就像父母第一次看着孩子騎自行車一樣。在公司必須迅速清理資產負債表的情況下,股東似乎可能會遭受大規模稀釋。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是你不能完全孤立地看待債務;因爲保利聯合化學控股集團需要收益來償還債務。因此,在考慮債務時,絕對值得一看收益趨勢。單擊此處查看交互式快照。
Over 12 months, Poly Union Chemical Holding Group made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥6.0b, which is a fall of 13%. That's not what we would hope to see.
在過去的12個月中,保利聯合化學控股集團在息稅前利潤水平上出現虧損,收入降至60元人民幣,下降了13%。這不是我們希望看到的。
Caveat Emptor
Caveat Emptor
While Poly Union Chemical Holding Group's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Its EBIT loss was a whopping CN¥392m. When we look at that alongside the significant liabilities, we're not particularly confident about the company. It would need to improve its operations quickly for us to be interested in it. Not least because it burned through CN¥862m in negative free cash flow over the last year. That means it's on the risky side of things. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Poly Union Chemical Holding Group has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.
儘管保利聯合化學控股集團收入的下降像溼毯一樣令人心動,但可以說,其息稅前收益(EBIT)虧損的吸引力更小。其息稅前利潤虧損高達39200萬元人民幣。當我們將其與巨額負債一起看時,我們對公司並不特別有信心。它需要迅速改善其運營,我們才會對此感興趣。尤其是因爲它在過去一年中消耗了86200萬元人民幣的負自由現金流。這意味着它站在危險的一面。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。例如,保利聯合化學控股集團有兩個警告標誌(還有一個有點不愉快),我們認爲你應該知道。
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
歸根結底,通常最好將注意力集中在沒有淨負債的公司身上。您可以訪問我們的此類公司的特別名單(所有公司都有利潤增長記錄)。它是免費的。
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。