Carrier Global Corporation (NYSE:CARR) saw a significant share price rise of 28% in the past couple of months on the NYSE. The company is now trading at yearly-high levels following the recent surge in its share price. With many analysts covering the large-cap stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock's share price. However, what if the stock is still a bargain? Let's examine Carrier Global's valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there's still a bargain opportunity.

Is Carrier Global Still Cheap?

The stock is currently trading at US$79.35 on the share market, which means it is overvalued by 34% compared to our intrinsic value of $59.25. This means that the buying opportunity has probably disappeared for now. If you like the stock, you may want to keep an eye out for a potential price decline in the future. Given that Carrier Global's share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

What kind of growth will Carrier Global generate?

Future outlook is an important aspect when you're looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it's the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. However, with a negative profit growth of -18% expected over the next couple of years, near-term growth certainly doesn't appear to be a driver for a buy decision for Carrier Global. This certainty tips the risk-return scale towards higher risk.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? If you believe CARR is currently trading above its value, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. Given the risk from a negative growth outlook, this could be the right time to reduce your total portfolio risk. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you've been keeping an eye on CARR for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. you may want to reconsider buying the stock at this time. Its price has risen beyond its true value, on top of a negative future outlook. However, there are also other important factors which we haven't considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Should the price fall in the future, will you be well-informed enough to buy?

If you want to dive deeper into Carrier Global, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. Our analysis shows 4 warning signs for Carrier Global (1 is a bit unpleasant!) and we strongly recommend you look at them before investing.

If you are no longer interested in Carrier Global, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.