Why China Asia Valley Group's (HKG:63) Earnings Are Weaker Than They Seem
Why China Asia Valley Group's (HKG:63) Earnings Are Weaker Than They Seem
After announcing healthy earnings, China Asia Valley Group Limited's (HKG:63) stock rose over the last week. While the headline numbers were strong, we found some underlying problems once we started looking at what drove earnings.
宣佈盈利健康後,China Asia Valley Group有限公司(HKG:63)的股票在上週上漲。儘管頭條數字強勁,但在我們開始審視推動盈利的因素時,我們發現了一些潛在問題。
In order to understand the potential for per share returns, it is essential to consider how much a company is diluting shareholders. China Asia Valley Group expanded the number of shares on issue by 125% over the last year. As a result, its net income is now split between a greater number of shares. To talk about net income, without noticing earnings per share, is to be distracted by the big numbers while ignoring the smaller numbers that talk to per share value. Check out China Asia Valley Group's historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.
爲了了解每股收益潛力,必須考慮公司將股東稀釋了多少。China Asia Valley Group在過去一年內發行股份數增加了125%。因此,其淨利潤現在分配在更多的股份之間。談論淨利潤,卻沒有注意每股收益,就是被大數字所吸引,而忽略了說明每股價值的小數字。點擊這個鏈接查看China Asia Valley Group的歷史EPS增長。
How Is Dilution Impacting China Asia Valley Group's Earnings Per Share (EPS)?
稀釋如何影響China Asia Valley Group的每股收益(EPS)?
Three years ago, China Asia Valley Group lost money. And even focusing only on the last twelve months, we don't have a meaningful growth rate because it made a loss a year ago, too. But mathematics aside, it is always good to see when a formerly unprofitable business come good (though we accept profit would have been higher if dilution had not been required). Therefore, one can observe that the dilution is having a fairly profound effect on shareholder returns.
三年前,China Asia Valley Group虧損。即使只關注過去十二個月,我們也沒有一個有意義的增長率,因爲一年前它也虧損了。但數學除外,總是很好看到一個以前不盈利的企業實現盈利(儘管我們承認如果不需要稀釋,利潤將會更高)。因此,人們可以觀察到,稀釋對股東回報產生了相當深遠的影響。
In the long term, if China Asia Valley Group's earnings per share can increase, then the share price should too. However, if its profit increases while its earnings per share stay flat (or even fall) then shareholders might not see much benefit. For the ordinary retail shareholder, EPS is a great measure to check your hypothetical "share" of the company's profit.
從長期來看,如果China Asia Valley Group的每股收益能夠增長,那麼股價也應該上漲。然而,如果其利潤增加而每股收益保持不變(甚至下降),那麼股東可能看不到太多收益。對於普通零售股東來說,EPS是一個很好的指標,可以檢查您對公司利潤的假想「份額」。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of China Asia Valley Group.
注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表強度。 點擊這裏查看我們對China Asia Valley Group資產負債表分析。
How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?
非常規項目如何影響利潤?
Alongside that dilution, it's also important to note that China Asia Valley Group's profit was boosted by unusual items worth HK$5.1m in the last twelve months. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. We can see that China Asia Valley Group's positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to June 2024. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.
除此之外,值得注意的是,中國亞洲山谷集團過去十二個月的利潤受到飛凡價值510萬港元的非凡項目的推動。雖然我們喜歡看到利潤增長,但當非凡項目對利潤貢獻較大時,我們傾向於更加謹慎。當我們分析成千上萬家上市公司的數據時,我們發現一年中利潤受到非凡項目推動的情況通常不會在下一年重複。這正如你所期望的那樣,因爲這些推動被描述爲「非凡」。我們可以看到,與2024年6月的利潤相比,中國亞洲山谷集團的積極非凡項目在數量上相當可觀。其他條件不變的情況下,這可能會導致規定利潤成爲基礎收益能力的不良指導。
Our Take On China Asia Valley Group's Profit Performance
我們對中國亞洲山谷集團的利潤表現的看法
To sum it all up, China Asia Valley Group got a nice boost to profit from unusual items; without that, its statutory results would have looked worse. On top of that, the dilution means that its earnings per share performance is worse than its profit performance. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at China Asia Valley Group's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. Our analysis shows 4 warning signs for China Asia Valley Group (2 are significant!) and we strongly recommend you look at them before investing.
總的來說,中國亞洲山谷集團從非凡項目中獲得了利潤的良好提升;如果沒有這一點,其規定結果看起來會更糟。除此之外,稀釋意味着其每股收益表現比利潤表現更糟糕。基於上述原因,我們認爲僅僅粗略地看一下中國亞洲山谷集團的規定利潤可能會讓其在基礎水平上看起來比實際情況更好。鑑於這一點,如果您想對該公司進行更多分析,了解涉及的風險十分重要。我們的分析顯示中國亞洲山谷集團存在4個警示信號(其中2個重要!),強烈建議您在投資前對其進行詳細了解。
In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
在本文中,我們已經查看了許多影響利潤數據實用性的因素,並對此持謹慎態度。但是,還有許多其他方法可以了解公司的情況。例如,許多人認爲高股權回報率是企業經濟有利的指標,而其他人則喜歡「跟着錢」的思路,並尋找內部人員購買的股票。雖然這可能需要一些您自己的研究,但是您可能會發現這個由高股權回報率的公司組成的免費集合,或者這個擁有重要內部人員持股的股票列表有用。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。