E-Star Commercial Management Company Limited (HKG:6668) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 27% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 2.2% isn't as attractive.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about E-Star Commercial Management's P/E ratio of 8x, since the median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio in Hong Kong is also close to 10x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.
With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, E-Star Commercial Management has been doing relatively well. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to wane, which has kept the P/E from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
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Does Growth Match The P/E?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like E-Star Commercial Management's is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 5.5%. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen an unpleasant 8.3% overall drop in EPS. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 14% each year as estimated by the two analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 12% per annum, which is not materially different.
With this information, we can see why E-Star Commercial Management is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. Apparently shareholders are comfortable to simply hold on while the company is keeping a low profile.
The Bottom Line On E-Star Commercial Management's P/E
E-Star Commercial Management's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/E level with the market. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As we suspected, our examination of E-Star Commercial Management's analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook is contributing to its current P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings won't throw up any surprises. It's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.
It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for E-Star Commercial Management that you need to take into consideration.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on E-Star Commercial Management, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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