The Shanghai Zendai Property Limited (HKG:755) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 113%. The annual gain comes to 146% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.
After such a large jump in price, when almost half of the companies in Hong Kong's Real Estate industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.7x, you may consider Shanghai Zendai Property as a stock probably not worth researching with its 1.4x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
What Does Shanghai Zendai Property's Recent Performance Look Like?
It looks like revenue growth has deserted Shanghai Zendai Property recently, which is not something to boast about. Perhaps the market believes that revenue growth will improve markedly over current levels, inflating the P/S ratio. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Shanghai Zendai Property's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Shanghai Zendai Property's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of revenue, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. This isn't what shareholders were looking for as it means they've been left with a 93% decline in revenue over the last three years in total. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 4.9% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
With this information, we find it concerning that Shanghai Zendai Property is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What Does Shanghai Zendai Property's P/S Mean For Investors?
Shanghai Zendai Property shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Shanghai Zendai Property currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Shanghai Zendai Property (1 is a bit unpleasant) you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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