With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 6.1x Civitas Resources, Inc. (NYSE:CIVI) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in the United States have P/E ratios greater than 19x and even P/E's higher than 35x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Recent times haven't been advantageous for Civitas Resources as its earnings have been falling quicker than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the dismal earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. You'd much rather the company wasn't bleeding earnings if you still believe in the business. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping the earnings slide doesn't get any worse if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Civitas Resources will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like Civitas Resources' to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 30% decrease to the company's bottom line. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 414% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 8.6% per annum during the coming three years according to the eight analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be similar to the 10% each year growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's peculiar that Civitas Resources' P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.
The Key Takeaway
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Civitas Resources currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is in line with the wider market. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the outlook. It appears some are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide more support to the share price.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - Civitas Resources has 4 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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