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Why Flowing Cloud Technology's (HKG:6610) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

Why Flowing Cloud Technology's (HKG:6610) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

爲什麼飛天雲動(6610:香港)搖搖欲墜的盈利僅僅是問題的開始
Simply Wall St ·  10/03 18:39

Flowing Cloud Technology Ltd's (HKG:6610) stock showed strength, with investors undeterred by its weak earnings report. Sometimes, shareholders are willing to ignore soft numbers with the hope that they will improve, but our analysis suggests this is unlikely for Flowing Cloud Technology.

飛天雲動(臨時代碼)股票表現強勁,投資者並不受其疲弱的收益報告影響。有時候,股東願意忽視不佳的數字,希望它們會改善,但我們的分析表明,對於飛天雲動來說,這是不太可能的。

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SEHK:6610 Earnings and Revenue History October 3rd 2024
SEHK:6610 營業收入和收益歷史 2024年10月3日

Examining Cashflow Against Flowing Cloud Technology's Earnings

審核現金流與飛天雲動收益情況

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

在高金融領域,用來衡量一家公司如何將報告的利潤轉換爲自由現金流(FCF)的主要比率是應計比率(來自現金流)。應計比率從給定期間的自由現金流中減去利潤,並將結果除以該公司在該期間內的平均營運資產。該比率顯示了一家公司的利潤超過其自由現金流的程度。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

因此,負淨應計比率對公司來說是一個積極的因素,而正淨應計比率則是一個消極因素。雖然淨應計比率高於零並不令人擔憂,但我們認爲,當一個公司的淨應計比率相對較高時,值得注意。值得注意的是,有一些學術證據表明,高淨應計比率通常是短期利潤的一個不良跡象。

For the year to June 2024, Flowing Cloud Technology had an accrual ratio of 0.37. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. And indeed, during the period the company didn't produce any free cash flow whatsoever. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥211.1m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥250m in the last year. We also note that Flowing Cloud Technology's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥250m.

截至2024年6月底,飛天雲動的應計比率爲0.37。從統計角度來看,這對未來收益來說是個真正的負面因素。事實上,在這段時間內,該公司根本沒有產生任何自由現金流。儘管它報告了人民幣21110萬的利潤,但從自由現金流的角度來看,它實際上在過去的一年中虧損了人民幣25000萬。我們還注意到飛天雲動的自由現金流在去年也是負數,因此我們能理解如果股東因其流出的人民幣25000萬而感到困擾。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Flowing Cloud Technology.

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的強度。點擊這裏查看我們對飛天雲動資產負債表的分析。

Our Take On Flowing Cloud Technology's Profit Performance

飛天雲動利潤表現分析

As we have made quite clear, we're a bit worried that Flowing Cloud Technology didn't back up the last year's profit with free cashflow. As a result, we think it may well be the case that Flowing Cloud Technology's underlying earnings power is lower than its statutory profit. But the good news is that its EPS growth over the last three years has been very impressive. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. If you want to do dive deeper into Flowing Cloud Technology, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. To help with this, we've discovered 2 warning signs (1 is concerning!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in Flowing Cloud Technology.

正如我們所清楚表達的,我們有些擔心飛天雲動去年的利潤並未得到自由現金流的支持。因此,我們認爲飛天雲動的潛在盈利能力可能低於其法定利潤。但好消息是,過去三年其每股收益增長非常令人印象深刻。本文的目標是評估我們能否依賴法定收益來反映公司的潛力,但還有很多要考慮。如果您想更深入了解飛天雲動,您還應該了解它目前面臨的風險。爲了幫助您,我們發現了2個警示信號(其中1個令人擔憂!),在購買飛天雲動的股票之前,您應該意識到這些風險。

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Flowing Cloud Technology's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

今天我們聚焦一個單一數據點,以更好地了解飛天雲動的利潤性質。但如果您有能力專注於細枝末節,總會有更多發現。一些人認爲高股本回報率是優質業務的良好跡象。因此,您可能希望查看這個提供高ROE公司收集的合集,或者股權高的股票清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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