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We Think That There Are Some Issues For Qianhai Health Holdings (HKG:911) Beyond Its Promising Earnings

We Think That There Are Some Issues For Qianhai Health Holdings (HKG:911) Beyond Its Promising Earnings

我們認爲前海健康控股(HKG:911)存在一些問題,超出了其令人期待的收益
Simply Wall St ·  10/03 19:06

The recent earnings posted by Qianhai Health Holdings Limited (HKG:911) were solid, but the stock didn't move as much as we expected. We believe that shareholders have noticed some concerning factors beyond the statutory profit numbers.

前海健康控股有限公司(HKG:911)最近公佈的收益表現穩健,但股價並沒有如我們預期的那樣大幅波動。我們認爲股東已經注意到了除了法定利潤數字之外的一些令人擔憂的因素。

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SEHK:911 Earnings and Revenue History October 3rd 2024
SEHK:911 2024年10月3日的收益和營業收入歷史記錄

Examining Cashflow Against Qianhai Health Holdings' Earnings

分析前海健康控股的現金流與收益的關係

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

在高端金融中,用於衡量公司如何將報告的利潤轉化爲自由現金流(FCF)的關鍵比率是應計比率(從現金流量表中)。簡單地說,該比率將FCF減去淨利潤,然後將該數字除以該期間公司的平均運營資產。該比率向我們展示了公司利潤超過FCF的程度。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

這意味着負面預提比率是一件好事,因爲它表明公司所獲得的自由現金流比其利潤所示的要多。這並不意味着我們應該擔心正面的預提比率,但值得注意的是,如果預提比率很高的話就要考慮這個問題。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年的一篇論文:「預提較高的公司未來的盈利能力較低」。

For the year to June 2024, Qianhai Health Holdings had an accrual ratio of 0.28. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of HK$24m despite its profit of HK$75.0m, mentioned above. We also note that Qianhai Health Holdings' free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of HK$24m. One positive for Qianhai Health Holdings shareholders is that it's accrual ratio was significantly better last year, providing reason to believe that it may return to stronger cash conversion in the future. Shareholders should look for improved cashflow relative to profit in the current year, if that is indeed the case.

截至2024年6月的一年間,前海健康控股的應計比率爲0.28。因此,我們可以推斷其自由現金流遠不足以覆蓋其法定利潤。在過去的12個月中,儘管其7500萬港元的盈利如上所述,實際上自由現金流是負的,流出了2400萬港元。我們還注意到,前海健康控股去年的自由現金流也是負的,因此可以理解股東是否因其2400萬港元的流出而感到困擾。前海健康控股股東的一個積極因素是,其應計比率去年明顯更好,提供了理由相信未來可能恢復更強的現金轉換。如果確實如此,股東應該尋找當前年份相對於利潤改善的現金流。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Qianhai Health Holdings.

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。單擊這裏查看我們對前海健康控股資產負債表的分析。

Our Take On Qianhai Health Holdings' Profit Performance

關於前海健康控股利潤表現的看法

Qianhai Health Holdings' accrual ratio for the last twelve months signifies cash conversion is less than ideal, which is a negative when it comes to our view of its earnings. Because of this, we think that it may be that Qianhai Health Holdings' statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. On the bright side, the company showed enough improvement to book a profit this year, after losing money last year. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. Be aware that Qianhai Health Holdings is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis and 2 of those make us uncomfortable...

前海健康控股過去十二個月的應計比率表明現金轉換不理想,這在我們看來是其收益的負面因素。因此,我們認爲前海健康控股的法定盈利可能比其潛在收益能力更好。好消息是,該公司今年盈利,而去年虧損。最終,要充分了解公司,必須考慮不僅僅是上述因素。因此,如果您想深入了解這隻股票,就必須考慮它面臨的任何風險。請注意,根據我們的投資分析,前海健康控股出現了3個警示信號,其中有2個讓我們感到不安...

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Qianhai Health Holdings' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

本說明僅考慮了一個揭示前海健康控股利潤性質的因素。但是,如果您能夠專注於細微之處,總會有更多發現。一些人認爲高淨資產回報率是優質公司的良好跡象。因此,您可能希望查看這些擁有高淨資產回報率的公司的自由收藏,或者這些持有高內部人士所有權的股票清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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