Earnings Troubles May Signal Larger Issues for Sanai Health Industry Group (HKG:1889) Shareholders
Earnings Troubles May Signal Larger Issues for Sanai Health Industry Group (HKG:1889) Shareholders
The latest earnings report from Sanai Health Industry Group Company Limited (HKG:1889 ) disappointed investors. Our analysis suggests that while the headline numbers were soft, there are some positive factors which shareholders may have missed.
來自雀巢健康產業集團有限公司(HKG:1889)的最新收益報告使投資者感到失望。我們的分析表明,雖然一些主要數據較弱,但股東可能錯過了一些積極因素。
Examining Cashflow Against Sanai Health Industry Group's Earnings
審查雀巢健康產業集團的現金流與收益
In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
在高金融領域,用於衡量公司將其報告利潤轉化爲自由現金流(FCF)的關鍵比率是從現金流量中計算的應計率。簡單點來說,這個比率從淨利潤中減去自由現金流,然後將這個數字除以公司在那段時間內的平均營業資產。從現金流來看,你可以把它看作是「非FCF利潤率」。
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
這意味着負的應計比率是一件好事,因爲它表明公司比其利潤所示帶來了更多的自由現金流。雖然應計比率高於零不足爲憑,但如果公司的應計比率相對較高,我們認爲這值得注意。值得注意的是,有一些學術證據表明,相對而言,高應計比率是短期利潤的不利信號。
Over the twelve months to June 2024, Sanai Health Industry Group recorded an accrual ratio of -1.41. That implies it has very good cash conversion, and that its earnings in the last year actually significantly understate its free cash flow. In fact, it had free cash flow of CN¥162m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of CN¥13.1m. Sanai Health Industry Group's free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see. Having said that, there is more to consider. We must also consider the impact of unusual items on statutory profit (and thus the accrual ratio), as well as note the ramifications of the company issuing new shares.
在截至2024年6月的十二個月中,雀巢健康產業集團的應計比值爲-1.41。這意味着它有非常好的現金轉換率,實際上,去年的收益實際上大大低估了其自由現金流。事實上,去年其自由現金流爲人民幣16200萬,遠高於其法定盈利人民幣1310萬。雀巢健康產業集團的自由現金流在過去一年有所改善,這通常是好跡象。話雖如此,仍需考慮更多。我們還必須考慮非凡項目對法定盈利(從而對應計比率)的影響,以及公司發行新股的後果。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Sanai Health Industry Group.
注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表強度。單擊此處查看我們對雀巢健康產業集團資產負債表分析。
One essential aspect of assessing earnings quality is to look at how much a company is diluting shareholders. Sanai Health Industry Group expanded the number of shares on issue by 19% over the last year. That means its earnings are split among a greater number of shares. To celebrate net income while ignoring dilution is like rejoicing because you have a single slice of a larger pizza, but ignoring the fact that the pizza is now cut into many more slices. Check out Sanai Health Industry Group's historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.
評估收益質量的一個重要方面是看公司對股東的攤薄程度。Sanai Health Industry Group在過去一年中發行的股份數量增加了19%。這意味着其收益將分配給更多的股東。在忽略攤薄的情況下慶祝淨利潤,就像因爲你有一小塊更大的比薩餅而高興,但忽略了比薩餅被切成更多塊的事實。點擊此鏈接查看Sanai Health Industry Group的歷史每股收益增長。
How Is Dilution Impacting Sanai Health Industry Group's Earnings Per Share (EPS)?
攤薄對Sanai Health Industry Group的每股收益(EPS)造成了什麼影響?
As you can see above, Sanai Health Industry Group has been growing its net income over the last few years, with an annualized gain of 27% over three years. Net profit actually dropped by 64% in the last year. Unfortunately for shareholders, though, the earnings per share result was even worse, declining 66%. Therefore, the dilution is having a noteworthy influence on shareholder returns.
正如您所看到的,Sanai Health Industry Group在過去幾年中一直在增加其淨利潤,三年來的年增長率爲27%。淨利潤實際上在過去一年中下降了64%。不幸的是,股東們看到的每股收益結果更糟,下降了66%。因此,攤薄對股東回報產生了顯着影響。
In the long term, if Sanai Health Industry Group's earnings per share can increase, then the share price should too. However, if its profit increases while its earnings per share stay flat (or even fall) then shareholders might not see much benefit. For that reason, you could say that EPS is more important that net income in the long run, assuming the goal is to assess whether a company's share price might grow.
從長期來看,如果Sanai Health Industry Group的每股收益能夠增加,那麼股價也應該上漲。然而,如果其利潤增加而每股收益保持不變(甚至下降),則股東可能不會看到太多好處。基於這個原因,可以說每股收益在長期內比淨利潤更重要,假設目標是評估公司的股價可能增長。
The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit
除了稀釋之外,還應該注意的是,萬集科技在過去12個月中因不尋常項目獲得了價值人民幣3.5萬元的利潤。雖然我們希望看到利潤增加,但當這些不尋常項目對利潤做出重大貢獻時,我們會更加謹慎。我們對全球大部分上市公司的數據進行了分析,發現不尋常項目往往是一次性的。這正如我們所期望的那樣,因爲這些提升被描述爲"不尋常"。相對於其利潤而言,萬集科技在2021年12月前的不尋常項目貢獻大。因此,我們可以推斷出,這些不尋常項目正在使其財務利潤顯著增強。
Surprisingly, given Sanai Health Industry Group's accrual ratio implied strong cash conversion, its paper profit was actually boosted by CN¥19m in unusual items. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. We can see that Sanai Health Industry Group's positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to June 2024. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.
令人驚訝的是,鑑於Sanai Health Industry Group的應計比率暗示着強大的現金轉換,其紙面利潤實際上受到飛凡項目1900萬人民幣的提振。雖然我們很高興看到利潤增加,但當飛凡項目做出重大貢獻時,我們往往會更加謹慎。當我們對成千上萬家上市公司進行了數據分析時,我們發現,某年度來自飛凡項目的提升通常不會在下一年重複。這是你所期望的,因爲這些提升被描述爲「飛凡」。我們可以看到,相較於2024年6月的利潤,Sanai Health Industry Group的積極飛凡項目相當顯著。因此,我們推斷這些飛凡項目使其法定利潤比原本更強。
Our Take On Sanai Health Industry Group's Profit Performance
我們對賽乃健康產業集團的利潤表現進行了分析
Summing up, Sanai Health Industry Group's accrual ratio suggests that its statutory earnings are well matched by cash flow while its unusual items boosted the profit in a way that might not be repeated. Further, the dilution means profits are now split more ways. After taking into account all the aforementioned observations we think that Sanai Health Industry Group's profits probably give a generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. If you want to do dive deeper into Sanai Health Industry Group, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. Be aware that Sanai Health Industry Group is showing 6 warning signs in our investment analysis and 2 of those shouldn't be ignored...
總結一下,賽乃健康產業集團的應計比率表明其法定收益與現金流很好匹配,而非常項目提高了利潤,這種增長可能不會重複。此外,股份稀釋意味着利潤現在分散了。綜合考慮所有上述觀察結果,我們認爲賽乃健康產業集團的利潤可能給人以其可持續盈利水平的慷慨印象。如果您想深入了解賽乃健康產業集團,您還應該關注其當前面臨的風險。請注意,根據我們的投資分析,賽乃健康產業集團顯示出6個警示信號,其中有2個不容忽視...
Our examination of Sanai Health Industry Group has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
我們對賽乃健康產業集團的審查着眼於某些因素,這些因素可能使其盈利看起來比實際的要好。基於此,我們有些懷疑。但是,如果你能專注於細節,總會有更多發現。例如,許多人認爲高淨資產回報率是有利的商業經濟指標,而另一些人喜歡『跟隨資金』並尋找內部人員在購買的股票。因此,您可能希望查看這個免費的高淨資產回報率公司收藏,或者這個內部股權佔比較高的股票清單。
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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。