Shenzhen Zhilai Sci and Tech's (SZSE:300771) Earnings Trajectory Could Turn Positive as the Stock Swells 19% This Past Week
Shenzhen Zhilai Sci and Tech's (SZSE:300771) Earnings Trajectory Could Turn Positive as the Stock Swells 19% This Past Week
While not a mind-blowing move, it is good to see that the Shenzhen Zhilai Sci and Tech Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300771) share price has gained 27% in the last three months. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last half decade have been disappointing. In that time the share price has delivered a rude shock to holders, who find themselves down 56% after a long stretch. So we're hesitant to put much weight behind the short term increase. We'd err towards caution given the long term under-performance.
雖然並非令人驚歎的舉動,但很高興看到深圳智萊科技股份有限公司(SZSE:300771)的股價在過去三個月裏上漲了27%。但這並不能改變過去半個世紀以來的回報令人失望的事實。在這段時間內,股價給持有者帶來了極大震驚,長時間後他們發現自己虧損了56%。因此,我們對短期增長持謹慎態度。考慮到長期表現不佳,我們更傾向於謹慎。
On a more encouraging note the company has added CN¥395m to its market cap in just the last 7 days, so let's see if we can determine what's driven the five-year loss for shareholders.
更令人鼓舞的是,公司在過去7天僅僅增加了人民幣39500萬市值,因此讓我們看看是什麼導致了股東長達五年的損失。
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
儘管市場是一個強大的價格機制,但股票價格反映的不僅是潛在業務績效,還反映了投資者的情緒。 了解市場情緒隨時間的變化的一種方法是查看公司的股價與每股收益(EPS)之間的互動。
During the five years over which the share price declined, Shenzhen Zhilai Sci and Tech's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 32% each year. This fall in the EPS is worse than the 15% compound annual share price fall. So investors might expect EPS to bounce back -- or they may have previously foreseen the EPS decline. With a P/E ratio of 55.08, it's fair to say the market sees a brighter future for the business.
在股價下跌的五年裏,深圳智萊科技的每股收益(EPS)每年下降32%。這種EPS的下降比每股價格的15%年複合下降更糟糕。因此,投資者可能期待EPS會反彈——或者他們可能已經預見到EPS的下降。以55.08的市盈率來看,可以說市場對該業務的未來看好。
The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
下圖顯示了EPS隨時間變化的情況(點擊圖像以顯示確切值)。
It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. This free interactive report on Shenzhen Zhilai Sci and Tech's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
值得注意的是,該公司CEO的薪酬低於類似規模公司的中位數。關注CEO的薪酬總是重要的,但更重要的問題是公司是否會在未來年份增長收益。如果您想進一步調查該股票,深圳智萊科技的收益、營業收入和現金流量的這份免費互動報告是一個很好的開始。
What About Dividends?
那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Shenzhen Zhilai Sci and Tech's TSR for the last 5 years was -53%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
重要考慮股東整體回報,以及給定股票的股價回報。 股價回報僅反映了股價的變化,而TSR則包括股利價值(假設已經再投資)以及任何折讓的資本籌集或分拆的好處。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司,TSR通常要比股價回報高得多。 深圳智萊科技過去5年的TSR爲-53%,超過了前面提到的股價回報。 因此,公司支付的股息已經提升了股東的整體回報。
A Different Perspective
不同的觀點
Shenzhen Zhilai Sci and Tech shareholders are down 2.0% for the year (even including dividends), but the market itself is up 3.3%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. However, the loss over the last year isn't as bad as the 9% per annum loss investors have suffered over the last half decade. We would want clear information suggesting the company will grow, before taking the view that the share price will stabilize. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Shenzhen Zhilai Sci and Tech better, we need to consider many other factors. Even so, be aware that Shenzhen Zhilai Sci and Tech is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those doesn't sit too well with us...
深圳智萊科技的股東今年下跌了2.0%(包括股息在內),但市場本身上漲了3.3%。即使是好股票的股價有時也會下跌,但我們希望看到業務的基本指標有所改善,然後才會產生興趣。然而,過去一年的虧損並不像投資者在過去半個十年損失9%一年那麼嚴重。 在認爲股價將穩定之前,我們需要清楚的信息表明公司將增長。跟蹤股價的長期表現總是很有趣。但要更好地了解深圳智萊科技,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。即便如此,要注意,在我們的投資分析中,深圳智萊科技展示了4個警示信號,其中有1個讓我們感到不舒服...
If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
如果您願意查看另一家公司(具有潛在的更好財務狀況),請不要錯過這個免費的公司列表,證明它們可以增長收益。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。