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Is Weihai Guangwei Composites (SZSE:300699) A Risky Investment?

Is Weihai Guangwei Composites (SZSE:300699) A Risky Investment?

光威復材(SZSE:300699)是一個風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  10/03 22:09

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Weihai Guangwei Composites Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300699) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

禾倫·巴菲特曾經說過,「波動性與風險遠非同義詞」。當你評估一個公司的風險時,考慮其資產負債表是很自然的,因爲債務往往涉及到企業倒閉時。我們注意到光威復材股份有限公司(SZSE:300699)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但真正的問題是這些債務是否會讓公司變得風險。

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務帶來了什麼風險?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

一般來說,債務只有在公司無法輕鬆償還時才成爲真正的問題,無論是通過融資還是自身的現金流。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以接管企業。雖然這種情況並不常見,但我們經常看到,負債的公司因爲貸款人迫使其以賤價融資而永久稀釋股東。當然,債務的好處在於,它通常代表着廉價的資本,尤其是當它替代了公司能夠以高回報率再投資的稀釋時。在考慮一個公司的債務水平時,第一步是將其現金和債務放在一起考慮。

How Much Debt Does Weihai Guangwei Composites Carry?

光威復材股份有限公司有多少債務?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2024 Weihai Guangwei Composites had CN¥776.0m of debt, an increase on CN¥240.4m, over one year. But it also has CN¥1.13b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥357.9m net cash.

您可以點擊下方的圖表查看歷史數據,截至2024年6月,光威復材負債77600萬人民幣,比去年同期增加24040萬人民幣。但它也持有113億人民幣的現金來抵消,意味着淨現金35790萬人民幣。

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SZSE:300699 Debt to Equity History October 4th 2024
SZSE:300699 資產負債歷史記錄2024年10月4日

How Healthy Is Weihai Guangwei Composites' Balance Sheet?

光威復材的資產負債表有多健康?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Weihai Guangwei Composites had liabilities of CN¥983.3m due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥819.6m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.13b as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.95b due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥1.28b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,光威復材公司一年內到期的負債爲98330萬人民幣,而之後到期的負債爲81960萬人民幣。 抵消這些義務,公司手頭有113億人民幣現金以及價值195億人民幣的應收賬款,均在12個月內到期。 因此,實際上公司比總負債多128億人民幣的流動資產。

This short term liquidity is a sign that Weihai Guangwei Composites could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Succinctly put, Weihai Guangwei Composites boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

這種短期流動性表明,光威復材公司可能會很容易償還債務,因爲資產負債表與緊張相去甚遠。簡言之,光威復材公司擁有淨現金,因此可以說它沒有沉重的債務負擔!

But the other side of the story is that Weihai Guangwei Composites saw its EBIT decline by 6.4% over the last year. That sort of decline, if sustained, will obviously make debt harder to handle. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Weihai Guangwei Composites's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

但故事的另一面是,光威復材公司去年的EBIT下降了6.4%。 如果持續這種下降,債務顯然將更難處理。 在分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是需要重點關注的領域。 但最重要的是,未來收入,而不是其他,將決定光威復材公司未來能否保持健康的資產負債表。 因此,如果您關注未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Weihai Guangwei Composites has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Weihai Guangwei Composites reported free cash flow worth 10.0% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

但我們最後的考慮也很重要,因爲一家公司無法用紙面利潤償還債務;它需要冰冷的現金。 雖然光威復材公司在其資產負債表上擁有淨現金,但仍值得一看的是它將利息和稅前利潤(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解它迅速積累(或消耗)現金的速度。 在過去三年中,光威復材公司報告的自由現金流相當於其EBIT的10.0%,這實際上非常低。 對我們而言,這種低現金轉換速度引發了一些對其償債能力的擔憂。

Summing Up

總之

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Weihai Guangwei Composites has CN¥357.9m in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. So we are not troubled with Weihai Guangwei Composites's debt use. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Weihai Guangwei Composites (of which 1 shouldn't be ignored!) you should know about.

儘管調查一家公司的債務始終是明智的,但在這種情況下,光威復材擁有人民幣35790萬的淨現金和一個看起來不錯的資產負債表。因此,我們對光威復材的債務使用並不感到困擾。毫無疑問,我們大多數關於債務的了解來自資產負債表。然而,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中-遠非如此。這些風險可能很難發現。每家公司都有這些風險,我們已經發現了光威復材的2個警示信號(其中1個不容忽視!)您應該了解。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

當然,如果您是那種喜歡購買沒有債務負擔的股票的投資者,那麼不要猶豫,立即發現我們獨家的淨現金增長股票列表。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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