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Constellium (NYSE:CSTM) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

Constellium (NYSE:CSTM) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

constellium(紐交所:CSTM)資產負債表略顯緊張
Simply Wall St ·  10/04 23:17

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Constellium SE (NYSE:CSTM) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

戴維·艾本說得很好,「波動性並不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本的永久損失。」因此,聰明的投資者知道,債務是破產時通常涉及的一個非常重要因素,當你評估一家公司的風險性時。我們注意到constellium SE(紐交所:CSTM)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但真正的問題在於,這筆債務是否使公司變得風險較高。

When Is Debt A Problem?

什麼時候負債才是一個問題?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

一般來說,債務只有在公司無法輕鬆償還時才會成爲真正的問題,無論是通過籌集資金還是利用自身的自由現金流。最終,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法定義務,股東可能一無所有。雖然這並不常見,但我們經常看到負債公司因貸款人強迫他們以低迷價格籌集資金而導致股東永久稀釋。然而,通過發行股票稀釋,債務實際上可以成爲需要資本以高回報率投資增長的企業的極好工具。在我們考慮一家公司使用債務時,我們首先看現金和債務的總量。

What Is Constellium's Debt?

constellium的債務是多少?

As you can see below, Constellium had €1.72b of debt at June 2024, down from €1.87b a year prior. On the flip side, it has €213.0m in cash leading to net debt of about €1.50b.

正如您下面所看到的,2024年6月,constellium的債務爲17.2億歐元,比前一年的18.7億歐元有所減少。另一方面,它擁有2.13億歐元的現金,淨債務約爲15億歐元。

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NYSE:CSTM Debt to Equity History October 4th 2024
紐交所:CSTm自2004年10月4日起的債務與股本歷史

A Look At Constellium's Liabilities

查看Constellium的負債情況

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Constellium had liabilities of €1.55b falling due within a year, and liabilities of €2.41b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had €213.0m in cash and €672.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by €3.08b.

我們可以從最近的資產負債表中看到,Constellium的負債中有15.5億歐元是在一年內到期的,24.1億歐元是在此之後到期的。與此相抵,它有2.13億歐元的現金和6.72億歐元的應收款項將在12個月內到期。因此,其負債超過了其現金和(近期)應收款項的總和達到了30.8億歐元。

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of €2.15b, we think shareholders really should watch Constellium's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.

鑑於這一赤字實際上高於公司21.5億歐元的市值,我們認爲股東們確實應該像看着孩子第一次騎自行車那樣關注Constellium的債務水平。假設,如果公司被迫以當前股價籌集資本來償還其債務,那麼可能需要進行極端的權益稀釋。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Service Corporation International的債務是其EBITDA的3.5倍,而其EBIT可覆蓋其利息開支的3.7倍。綜合考慮,雖然我們不希望看到債務水平上升,但我們認爲它可以應對當前的槓桿。好消息是,Service Corporation International在過去12個月中將其EBIT提高了2.9%,從而逐漸降低了其相對於收益的債務水平。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中獲得了有關債務的大部分內容。但是,相對於資產負債表,更重要的是未來收益,這將決定Service Corporation International維持健康資產負債表的能力。如果您關注未來,您可以查看此免費報告,其中有分析師的利潤預測。

Constellium has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 2.5 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 3.8 times. Taken together this implies that, while we wouldn't want to see debt levels rise, we think it can handle its current leverage. Pleasingly, Constellium is growing its EBIT faster than former Australian PM Bob Hawke downs a yard glass, boasting a 116% gain in the last twelve months. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Constellium can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Constellium的債務與EBITDA比率爲2.5,其EBIT覆蓋了利息費用3.8倍。綜合考慮,這意味着,雖然我們不希望看到債務水平上升,但我們認爲公司可以應對其目前的槓桿。令人高興的是,Constellium的EBIT增長速度比澳大利亞前總理鮑勃·豪克喝掉一杯玻璃的速度更快,在過去12個月裏增長了116%。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時要重點關注的領域。但最終業務未來的盈利能力將決定Constellium是否能夠隨着時間加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Constellium recorded free cash flow of 46% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

但我們的最後考慮也很重要,因爲公司無法用紙面利潤償還債務;它需要冷硬現金。因此,值得檢查那些EBIT有多少是由自由現金流支持的。查看最近三年,Constellium錄得的自由現金流佔其EBIT的46%,這比我們的預期要弱。在償還債務方面這並不理想。

Our View

我們的觀點

Neither Constellium's ability to handle its total liabilities nor its interest cover gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But the good news is it seems to be able to grow its EBIT with ease. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Constellium's debt poses some risks to the business. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 1 warning sign with Constellium , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

康斯特利姆處理總負債的能力以及其利息償付覆蓋率未能讓我們對其承擔更多債務的能力產生信心。但好消息是,它似乎能輕鬆增長EBIt。綜合考慮上述因素,我們確實認爲康斯特利姆的債務對業務構成了一些風險。因此,雖然槓桿確實提高了股本回報率,但我們實際上不希望看到它從這裏增加。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,最終,每家公司都可能存在資產負債表之外的風險。我們已經識別出康斯特利姆1個警示信號,了解這些信號應該成爲您投資過程的一部分。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有興趣投資能夠在不負債的情況下增長利潤的企業,請查看這份免費列表,其中列出了在資產負債表上擁有淨現金的成長型企業。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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