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Why Many Idea Cloud Holdings' (HKG:6696) Soft Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

Why Many Idea Cloud Holdings' (HKG:6696) Soft Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

爲什麼Many Idea Cloud Holdings(HKG:6696)的萎靡收益只是其問題的開始
Simply Wall St ·  2024/10/04 17:17

The market shrugged off Many Idea Cloud Holdings Limited's (HKG:6696) weak earnings report. Despite the strength in the stock, we feel that investors should be cautious about some numbers in the earnings.

市場對Many Idea Cloud Holdings Limited(HKG:6696)的業績報告反應不強烈。儘管股票表現強勁,但我們認爲投資者應謹慎關注業績中的一些數字。

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SEHK:6696 Earnings and Revenue History October 4th 2024
SEHK:6696盈利和營業收入歷史數據爲2024年10月4日。

Zooming In On Many Idea Cloud Holdings' Earnings

聚焦Many Idea Cloud Holdings的盈利情況

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

很多投資者並不了解從現金流量表中計算的預付賬款率,但它實際上是衡量公司利潤由自由現金流(FCF)支撐情況的有用指標。簡單地講,這個比率將自由現金流(FCF)從淨利潤中減去,然後除以該期間公司的平均營運資產。這一比率告訴我們公司多少利潤不由自由現金流支撐。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

這意味着負的應計比率是一件好事,因爲它表明公司帶來的自由現金流比其利潤所顯示的更多。雖然擁有正的應計比率並不是問題,表明一定程度的非現金利潤,但高應計比率可能是一件壞事,因爲這表明紙面利潤不能得到現金流支持。這是因爲一些學術研究表明,高應計比率往往導致較低的利潤或利潤增長率。

Over the twelve months to June 2024, Many Idea Cloud Holdings recorded an accrual ratio of 0.36. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, raising questions about how useful that profit figure really is. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥185m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥19.8m. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥185m, this year, indicates high risk. Unfortunately for shareholders, the company has also been issuing new shares, diluting their share of future earnings.

在截至2024年6月的十二個月內,Many Idea Cloud Holdings的應計比率爲0.36。因此,我們知道它的自由現金流明顯低於其法定利潤,這引發了有關這一利潤數字實際用途的疑問。在過去一年中,其實際出現了負的自由現金流18500萬人民幣,與前述的1980萬人民幣利潤形成對比。在去年出現負的自由現金流之後,我們可以想象一些股東可能會對該公司今年的18500萬人民幣現金狀況表示擔憂,這表明高風險。不幸的是對於股東而言,該公司還在發行新股,稀釋了他們未來收益份額。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Many Idea Cloud Holdings.

注:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表實力。單擊此處查看有關Many Idea Cloud Holdings資產負債表分析。

To understand the value of a company's earnings growth, it is imperative to consider any dilution of shareholders' interests. Many Idea Cloud Holdings expanded the number of shares on issue by 70% over the last year. Therefore, each share now receives a smaller portion of profit. Per share metrics like EPS help us understand how much actual shareholders are benefitting from the company's profits, while the net income level gives us a better view of the company's absolute size. You can see a chart of Many Idea Cloud Holdings' EPS by clicking here.

爲了了解一家公司盈利增長的價值,必須考慮股東權益的稀釋。許多Idea Cloud Holdings在過去一年內股份發行量增加了70%。因此,現在每股收益的份額減少了。每股指標如EPS幫助我們了解實際股東從公司利潤中獲益的程度,而淨收入水平讓我們更好地了解公司的絕對規模。您可以點擊這裏查看Many Idea Cloud Holdings的EPS圖表。

A Look At The Impact Of Many Idea Cloud Holdings' Dilution On Its Earnings Per Share (EPS)

觀察許多Idea Cloud Holdings的股份稀釋對其每股收益(EPS)的影響

Unfortunately, Many Idea Cloud Holdings' profit is down 52% per year over three years. Even looking at the last year, profit was still down 71%. Sadly, earnings per share fell further, down a full 76% in that time. So you can see that the dilution has had a fairly significant impact on shareholders.

不幸的是,許多Idea Cloud Holdings的利潤在過去三年中年均下降了52%。即使看過去一年,利潤仍然下降了71%。可悲的是,每股收益進一步下降,這段時間下降了整整76%。因此您可以看到,稀釋對股東產生了相當顯著的影響。

In the long term, if Many Idea Cloud Holdings' earnings per share can increase, then the share price should too. However, if its profit increases while its earnings per share stay flat (or even fall) then shareholders might not see much benefit. For the ordinary retail shareholder, EPS is a great measure to check your hypothetical "share" of the company's profit.

從長期來看,如果許多Idea Cloud Holdings的每股收益能夠增加,那麼股價也應該會上漲。然而,如果其利潤增加而每股收益保持不變(甚至下降),那麼股東可能不會看到太多的好處。對於普通零售股東而言,EPS是一個很好的指標,可以檢查您在公司利潤中的假設「份額」。

Our Take On Many Idea Cloud Holdings' Profit Performance

我們對許多Idea Cloud Holdings的利潤表現的看法

As it turns out, Many Idea Cloud Holdings couldn't match its profit with cashflow and its dilution means that shareholders own less of the company than the did before (unless they bought more shares). For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Many Idea Cloud Holdings' statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. To help with this, we've discovered 5 warning signs (3 are a bit unpleasant!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in Many Idea Cloud Holdings.

事實表明,許多Idea Cloud Holdings無法將利潤與現金流匹配,其稀釋意味着股東持有的公司股份比之前要少(除非他們購買更多股票)。基於上述原因,我們認爲,對許多Idea Cloud Holdings的法定利潤進行膚淺的掃視可能讓其看起來比實際情況要好。鑑於此,如果您想對該公司進行更深入的分析,了解涉及的風險至關重要。爲了幫助您,我們發現了5個警示信號(其中3個有點令人不快!)在購買任何許多Idea Cloud Holdings股票之前,這是您應該了解的。

Our examination of Many Idea Cloud Holdings has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

我們對Many Idea Cloud Holdings的審查主要集中在某些因素上,這些因素可以使其盈利看起來比實際情況更好。基於這一點,我們有些持懷疑態度。但是,如果您能夠把注意力集中在細節上,總會有更多發現。有些人認爲股東權益回報率高是優質業務的一個好跡象。因此,您可能希望查看這個自由收集具有高股東權益回報率的公司,或者這份具有高內部持股的股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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