SiS Mobile Holdings' (HKG:1362) Problems Go Beyond Weak Profit
SiS Mobile Holdings' (HKG:1362) Problems Go Beyond Weak Profit
The subdued market reaction suggests that SiS Mobile Holdings Limited's (HKG:1362) recent earnings didn't contain any surprises. Our analysis suggests that along with soft profit numbers, investors should be aware of some other underlying weaknesses in the numbers.
市場反應溫和,表明新龍移動控股有限公司(HKG:1362)最近的盈利並沒有什麼意外。我們的分析顯示,除了軟盈利數字外,投資者還應注意一些其他數字上的潛在弱點。
Zooming In On SiS Mobile Holdings' Earnings
聚焦新龍移動控股的盈利
Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
許多投資者沒有聽說過現金流的權責發生制比率,但實際上它是一個衡量公司在一定時期內利潤受自由現金流(FCF)支持程度的有用指標。該權責發生制比率將給定期間的自由現金流從利潤中減去,並將結果除以公司在此期間的平均營運資產。該比率告訴我們公司利潤中有多少是不受自由現金流支持的。
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
因此,當一個公司有一個負的應計比率時,實際上是一件好事,但如果它的應計比率是正的,那就是一件壞事。雖然有一個正的應計比率並不是一個問題,表明了一定程度的非現金利潤,但高的應計比率則是一個壞事,因爲它表明紙上的利潤不與現金流匹配。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年發表的論文,「應計比率更高的公司未來的盈利能力往往更低。」
SiS Mobile Holdings has an accrual ratio of 0.23 for the year to June 2024. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of HK$6.6m despite its profit of HK$8.42m, mentioned above. We saw that FCF was HK$47m a year ago though, so SiS Mobile Holdings has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past. One positive for SiS Mobile Holdings shareholders is that it's accrual ratio was significantly better last year, providing reason to believe that it may return to stronger cash conversion in the future. Shareholders should look for improved cashflow relative to profit in the current year, if that is indeed the case.
截至2024年6月,新龍移動控股的應計比率爲0.23。因此我們可以推斷,其自由現金流遠遠不足以覆蓋其法定利潤。在過去的十二個月內,儘管其利潤爲842萬港元,但實際上其自由現金流是負的,流出了660萬港元。儘管如上所述,一年前我們看到自由現金流爲4700萬港元,所以新龍移動控股至少曾經能夠在過去產生正面的自由現金流。新龍移動控股股東的一個積極因素是,其應計比率去年明顯較好,這表明它可能在未來恢復更強大的現金轉化。如果情況確實如此,股東應尋求當年改善的現金流與利潤之間的關係。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of SiS Mobile Holdings.
請注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊這裏查看我們對新龍移動控股的資產負債表分析。
Our Take On SiS Mobile Holdings' Profit Performance
關於新龍移動控股的利潤表現我們的看法
SiS Mobile Holdings didn't convert much of its profit to free cash flow in the last year, which some investors may consider rather suboptimal. Because of this, we think that it may be that SiS Mobile Holdings' statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. Sadly, its EPS was down over the last twelve months. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. For example, SiS Mobile Holdings has 4 warning signs (and 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) we think you should know about.
在過去一年裏,新龍移動控股並沒有將大部分利潤轉化爲自由現金流,這可能被一些投資者認爲是相當不佳的。因此,我們認爲新龍移動控股的法定利潤可能優於其基礎盈利能力。遺憾的是,其每股收益在過去十二個月下降了。當然,在分析其盈利能力時,我們只是觸及到了表面;人們也可以考慮利潤率、預測增長和投資回報等因素。請記住,在分析股票時,值得注意涉及的風險。例如,新龍移動控股有4個警示信號(還有一個我們認爲不太好),我們認爲您應該了解。
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of SiS Mobile Holdings' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
今天,我們放大了一個單一的數據點,以更好地了解新龍移動控股的利潤性質。但是,如果您能專注於細節,總有更多的發現。有些人認爲高淨資產收益率是質量良好企業的一個好跡象。雖然這可能需要您做一些研究,但您可能會發現這個免費的高淨資產收益率公司集合,或是這個持有大量內部股票的股票清單對您有用。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。