Is Genew TechnologiesLtd (SHSE:688418) A Risky Investment?
Is Genew TechnologiesLtd (SHSE:688418) A Risky Investment?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Genew Technologies Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:688418) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
傳奇基金經理李錄(查理·芒格支持)曾經說過:「最大的投資風險不是價格波動,而是你是否會遭受資本的永久損失。」因此,聰明的資金都明白,債務(通常涉及破產)是評估公司風險時的一個非常重要因素。與許多其他公司一樣,震有科技有限公司(SHSE:688418)利用了債務。但更重要的問題是:這筆債務產生了多少風險呢?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
債務帶來了什麼風險?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但如果企業無法償還債務,那麼它存在於債權人的控制之下。最終,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東可能一無所得。雖然這種情況並不常見,但我們經常看到負債公司因債權人強迫其以折價提出股本而使股東永久稀釋。當然,債務的好處在於,它通常代表廉價資本,尤其是當它取代公司在能夠以高回報率再投資的能力的稀釋時。當我們審查債務水平時,我們首先考慮現金和債務水平。
How Much Debt Does Genew TechnologiesLtd Carry?
震有科技有限公司承載多少債務?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2024 Genew TechnologiesLtd had debt of CN¥325.5m, up from CN¥270.6m in one year. However, it also had CN¥135.4m in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥190.1m.
下面的圖像顯示,截至2024年6月,震有科技有限公司的債務爲人民幣32550萬,比一年前的人民幣27060萬有所增加。然而,它也有人民幣13540萬現金,因此其淨債務爲人民幣19010萬。
How Strong Is Genew TechnologiesLtd's Balance Sheet?
震有科技的資產負債表有多強?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Genew TechnologiesLtd had liabilities of CN¥888.8m due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥52.0m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥135.4m in cash and CN¥561.3m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥244.1m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
最新的資產負債表數據顯示,震有科技有短期債務達到人民幣88880萬,以及隨後到期的5200萬人民幣債務。相對抵消的是,它擁有13540萬人民幣的現金和56130萬人民幣的應收賬款,在12個月內到期。所以它的負債總額達到24410萬人民幣,比其現金和短期應收款項總和多。
Given Genew TechnologiesLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥3.64b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Genew TechnologiesLtd can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
鑑於震有科技的市值爲36.4億人民幣,很難相信這些負債會構成很大威脅。但是有足夠的負債,我們肯定會建議股東繼續關注資產負債表的變化。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表上了解最多關於債務。但最終企業未來的盈利能力將決定震有科技是否能夠隨着時間加強其資產負債表。所以,如果您專注於未來,您可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。
Over 12 months, Genew TechnologiesLtd reported revenue of CN¥937m, which is a gain of 52%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. With any luck the company will be able to grow its way to profitability.
在12個月內,震有科技報告了93700萬人民幣的營業收入,增長了52%,儘管沒有報告利息和稅前收益。希望該公司能夠通過增長實現盈利。
Caveat Emptor
買方自負。
Despite the top line growth, Genew TechnologiesLtd still had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at CN¥20m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled CN¥27m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we do consider the stock to be risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Genew TechnologiesLtd .
儘管震有科技的營業額增長,但在過去一年中仍有利息和稅前收益(EBIT)虧損。具體來說,EBIT虧損額達到2000萬人民幣。當我們考慮這一點並回憶其資產負債表上的負債相對現金時,我們認爲公司有任何債務都是不明智的。所以我們認爲其資產負債表有些緊張,儘管不是無法修復。另一個值得警惕的原因是在過去十二個月裏,自由現金流表現爲負2700萬人民幣。所以我們認爲該股票存在風險。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表上了解最多關於債務。然而,並不是所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表內——遠非如此。因此,您應該注意我們發現的震有科技的1個警告標誌。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果您有興趣投資能夠在不負債的情況下增長利潤的企業,請查看這份免費列表,其中列出了在資產負債表上擁有淨現金的成長型企業。
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