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Is Tongda Group Holdings (HKG:698) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

Is Tongda Group Holdings (HKG:698) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

通達集團控股(HKG:698)是否在冒險地使用債務?
Simply Wall St ·  10/06 09:21

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Tongda Group Holdings Limited (HKG:698) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

傳奇基金經理李錄(得到查理·芒格的支持)曾經說過,「最大的投資風險不在於價格的波動,而在於你是否會遭受永久性的資本損失。」因此,當你考慮任何股票的風險時,需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務可能會拖垮一家公司。與許多其他公司一樣,通達集團控股有限公司(HKG:698)利用了債務。但真正的問題是這些債務是否讓公司變得更加風險。

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務帶來了什麼風險?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

債務可以幫助企業,直到企業開始難以償還,無論是通過新資本還是通過自由現金流。如果情況變得非常糟糕,放貸人可能會接管企業。然而,一個更常見(但仍昂貴)的情況是,一家公司必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東,以便控制債務。當然,債務可以是企業中重要的工具,特別是在資本密集型企業。當我們考慮一家公司使用債務時,我們首先看現金和債務。

How Much Debt Does Tongda Group Holdings Carry?

通達集團控股承擔了多少債務?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Tongda Group Holdings had HK$919.9m of debt in June 2024, down from HK$2.76b, one year before. However, its balance sheet shows it holds HK$996.7m in cash, so it actually has HK$76.8m net cash.

您可以點擊下面的圖表查看歷史數字,但它顯示通達集團控股在2024年6月有91990萬港元的債務,比一年前的27.6億港元減少了。然而,其資產負債表顯示它持有99670萬港元現金,因此實際上持有7680萬港元淨現金。

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SEHK:698 Debt to Equity History October 6th 2024
SEHK:698 債務與股本歷史 2024年10月6日

How Strong Is Tongda Group Holdings' Balance Sheet?

通達集團控股的資產負債表有多強?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Tongda Group Holdings had liabilities of HK$3.14b due within a year, and liabilities of HK$520.3m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of HK$996.7m as well as receivables valued at HK$2.30b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling HK$362.1m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,通達集團控股有314億港元的一年內到期負債,以及之後到期的52030萬港元的負債。抵消這些義務的是,它有99670萬港元的現金以及價值230億港元的12個月內到期應收賬款。因此,其負債總計36210萬港元多於其現金和近期應收賬款的結合。

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Tongda Group Holdings has a market capitalization of HK$1.19b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Tongda Group Holdings boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Tongda Group Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

雖然這看起來很多,但並不算太差,因爲通達集團控股的市值爲119億港元,所以如果需要的話,可能通過增加資本來加強其資產負債表。但我們確實希望保持警惕,以防債務帶來過多風險。儘管其顯著的負債,通達集團控股具有淨現金,因此可以說它沒有沉重的債務負擔!毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中了解到最多有關債務情況。但最終決定通達集團控股能否保持健康的資產負債表,更多地還是取決於未來的收入。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份展示分析師盈利預測的免費報告。

Over 12 months, Tongda Group Holdings made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to HK$6.5b, which is a fall of 5.4%. That's not what we would hope to see.

在過去12個月,通達集團控股在EBIt水平上虧損,並且其營業收入下降至650億港元,下降了5.4%。這並不是我們希望看到的。

So How Risky Is Tongda Group Holdings?

通達集團控股有多大風險?

While Tongda Group Holdings lost money on an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) level, it actually generated positive free cash flow HK$27m. So although it is loss-making, it doesn't seem to have too much near-term balance sheet risk, keeping in mind the net cash. With revenue growth uninspiring, we'd really need to see some positive EBIT before mustering much enthusiasm for this business. For riskier companies like Tongda Group Holdings I always like to keep an eye on the long term profit and revenue trends. Fortunately, you can click to see our interactive graph of its profit, revenue, and operating cashflow.

雖然通達集團控股在息稅前盈利(EBIT)水平上虧損,但實際上創造了2700萬港元的正自由現金流。因此,雖然有虧損,但考慮到淨現金,似乎沒有太多近期資產負債表風險。隨着收入增長乏味,我們確實需要看到一些積極的EBIt才能對這家企業抱有熱情。對於像通達控股這樣的風險公司,我總是喜歡密切關注長期的盈利和營收趨勢。幸運的是,您可以點擊查看我們的盈利、營收和經營現金流的互動圖表。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

說到底,有時候更容易集中精力關注根本不需要債務的公司。讀者可以免費訪問零淨債務增長股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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