China Lesso Group Holdings Limited (HKG:2128) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 64% after a shaky period beforehand. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 5.6% isn't as attractive.
Even after such a large jump in price, China Lesso Group Holdings' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 6.4x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 11x and even P/E's above 21x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
China Lesso Group Holdings could be doing better as its earnings have been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive earnings growth. It seems that many are expecting the dour earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on China Lesso Group Holdings will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as China Lesso Group Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 29%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 54% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the seven analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 9.9% per year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 12% each year, which is noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that China Lesso Group Holdings' P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Final Word
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift China Lesso Group Holdings' P/E close to the market median. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of China Lesso Group Holdings' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for China Lesso Group Holdings you should know about.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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