We Think NIKE (NYSE:NKE) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease
We Think NIKE (NYSE:NKE) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, NIKE, Inc. (NYSE:NKE) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
大衛·伊本說得很好,他說:「波動性不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本永久損失。」 當您檢查公司的風險時,考慮到企業倒閉時通常涉及到債務,自然會考慮到公司的資產負債表。重要的是,耐克公司(NYSE:NKE)確實有債務。但這種債務是否讓股東擔憂呢?
When Is Debt A Problem?
什麼時候負債才是一個問題?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
債務可以幫助企業,直到企業開始無法用新資本或自由現金流償還爲止。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以接管企業。然而,更常見(但仍然痛苦)的情況是,企業不得不以低價籌集新股本,從而永久性稀釋股東。當然,債務的好處在於,它通常代表廉價資本,特別是當它取代具有以高回報率重新投資能力的公司的稀釋時。考慮企業使用了多少債務時,首要事項是查看其現金和債務。
What Is NIKE's Debt?
耐克的債務是什麼?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that NIKE had US$9.01b in debt in August 2024; about the same as the year before. But it also has US$10.3b in cash to offset that, meaning it has US$1.28b net cash.
下面的圖表,您可以點擊查看更詳細信息,顯示耐克在2024年8月有90.1億美元的債務;與前一年大致相同。但它還有103億美元的現金來抵消,這意味着它有12.8億美元的淨現金。
How Healthy Is NIKE's Balance Sheet?
耐克的資產負債表情況如何?
According to the last reported balance sheet, NIKE had liabilities of US$10.6b due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$13.3b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of US$10.3b and US$4.76b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$8.87b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
根據最新披露的資產負債表,耐克在未來12個月內應付的債務爲106億美元,超過12個月到期的債務爲133億美元。另一方面,其現金爲103億美元,應收賬款爲476億美元。因此,其債務總額比現金和短期應收賬款總額多達88.7億美元。
Since publicly traded NIKE shares are worth a very impressive total of US$123.3b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. While it does have liabilities worth noting, NIKE also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
由於公開交易的耐克股票總價值高達1233億美元,這種水平的負債似乎不太可能構成重大威脅。話雖如此,明顯的是我們應繼續監控其資產負債表,以防情況惡化。雖然它確實有值得注意的負債,但耐克的現金超過債務,因此我們相當有信心它可以安全地管理債務。
The good news is that NIKE has increased its EBIT by 9.2% over twelve months, which should ease any concerns about debt repayment. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if NIKE can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
好消息是,耐克過去12個月增加了9.2%的EBIt,這應該減輕對債務償還的擔憂。分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但最終業務的未來盈利能力將決定耐克是否能夠逐漸加強其資產負債表。因此,如果你關注未來,可以查看這份免費報告,展示分析師的利潤預測。
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While NIKE has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the most recent three years, NIKE recorded free cash flow worth 80% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
最後,一家公司只能用現金而不是會計利潤償還債務。雖然耐克的資產負債表上有淨現金,但仍然值得一看其通過將稅前利潤轉化爲自由現金流的能力,幫助我們了解其正在如何快速積累(或消耗)現金餘額。在最近的三年中,耐克的自由現金流價值相當於其EBIt的80%,這在正常範圍內,因爲自由現金流不包括利息和稅收。這些現金意味着它可以在需要時減少債務。
Summing Up
總之
We could understand if investors are concerned about NIKE's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of US$1.28b. And it impressed us with free cash flow of US$6.6b, being 80% of its EBIT. So we don't think NIKE's use of debt is risky. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of NIKE's earnings per share history for free.
我們可以理解投資者對耐克的負債感到擔憂,但我們可以放心的是,它擁有淨現金12.8億美元。而且,它給我們留下深刻印象的是,自由現金流達到66億美元,佔其EBIt的80%。因此,我們認爲耐克利用債務並不冒險。在諸多指標中,我們認爲追蹤每股收益的增長速度是至關重要的,如果有的話。如果您也達到了這種認識,那麼您很幸運,因爲今天您可以免費查看耐克每股收益歷史的交互式圖表。
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
歸根結底,專注於沒有淨債務的公司往往更好。您可以訪問我們的特別列表,其中包括所有表現出盈利增長軌跡的公司。這是免費的。
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