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Is Prinx Chengshan Holdings (HKG:1809) Using Too Much Debt?

Is Prinx Chengshan Holdings (HKG:1809) Using Too Much Debt?

Prinx Chengshan Holdings(HKG:1809)是否使用了過多的債務?
Simply Wall St ·  10/07 20:29

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Prinx Chengshan Holdings Limited (HKG:1809) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

伯克希爾哈撒韋的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李錄在談到「最大的投資風險不是價格波動,而是是否會遭受到永久性的資本損失」時毫不掩飾。考慮一家公司的資產負債表以判斷其風險程度是理所當然的,因爲企業破產時通常涉及債務。我們可以看到浦林成山控股有限公司(HKG:1809)在業務中使用債務。但真正的問題是,這筆債務是否讓公司變得更加具風險。

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時有危險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但如果企業無法償還其債權人,那麼就會受到他們的支配。如果情況變得非常糟糕,債權人可以控制企業。儘管這種情況不太常見,但我們經常看到負債累累的公司因貸款人迫使它們以降低價格籌集資本而導致持續性地稀釋股東的資產。當然,債務對於企業來說是一個重要的工具,特別是對於有定價能力的企業來說。考慮一家企業使用多少債務時,需要做的第一件事是看它的現金和債務情況。

How Much Debt Does Prinx Chengshan Holdings Carry?

浦林成山控股承擔了多少債務?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Prinx Chengshan Holdings had CN¥868.8m of debt in June 2024, down from CN¥1.77b, one year before. However, it does have CN¥432.7m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥436.0m.

您可以點擊下面的圖表查看歷史數據,但顯示浦林成山控股在2024年6月的債務爲86880萬人民幣,比一年前的17.7億人民幣有所減少。然而,它確實擁有43270萬人民幣的現金來抵消這筆債務,導致淨債務約爲43600萬人民幣。

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SEHK:1809 Debt to Equity History October 8th 2024
SEHK:1809債務與權益歷史數據2024年10月8日

How Strong Is Prinx Chengshan Holdings' Balance Sheet?

浦林成山控股的資產負債表有多強?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Prinx Chengshan Holdings had liabilities of CN¥4.05b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥521.7m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥432.7m and CN¥2.52b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥1.62b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

我們可以從最近的資產負債表看到,浦林成山控股的短期到期負債爲人民幣40.5億,超過一年到期負債爲人民幣52170萬。 另一方面,其現金爲人民幣43270萬,短期應收賬款爲人民幣25.2億。 因此,其負債總額爲16.2億人民幣,比其現金和短期應收款項合計多。

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Prinx Chengshan Holdings has a market capitalization of CN¥5.25b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

儘管這可能看起來很多,但由於浦林成山控股的市值爲人民幣52.5億,因此如果需要的話,它可能通過增加資本來加強其資產負債表。 但顯然,我們絕對應該密切審查其是否能夠管理債務而不被稀釋。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Service Corporation International的債務是其EBITDA的3.5倍,而其EBIT可覆蓋其利息開支的3.7倍。綜合考慮,雖然我們不希望看到債務水平上升,但我們認爲它可以應對當前的槓桿。好消息是,Service Corporation International在過去12個月中將其EBIT提高了2.9%,從而逐漸降低了其相對於收益的債務水平。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中獲得了有關債務的大部分內容。但是,相對於資產負債表,更重要的是未來收益,這將決定Service Corporation International維持健康資產負債表的能力。如果您關注未來,您可以查看此免費報告,其中有分析師的利潤預測。

Prinx Chengshan Holdings has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.20. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 29.4 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Even more impressive was the fact that Prinx Chengshan Holdings grew its EBIT by 188% over twelve months. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Prinx Chengshan Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

浦林成山控股的淨債務與EBITDA比率僅爲0.20。 其EBIT輕鬆覆蓋利息支出,是其29.4倍大小。 因此,你可以認爲它受到債務威脅的程度不比大象受到老鼠的威脅更大。 更令人印象深刻的是,浦林成山控股過去十二個月將其EBIT增長了188%。 如果繼續保持這種增長,債務在未來幾年中將變得更易管理。 毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中最多可以了解債務。 但更重要的是未來收入,而不是任何其他因素,將決定浦林成山控股能否保持健康的資產負債表。 因此,如果您想了解專業人士的看法,您可能會發現對分析師盈利預測的免費報告很有趣。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. In the last three years, Prinx Chengshan Holdings's free cash flow amounted to 37% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

但我們最後的考慮也很重要,因爲公司無法用紙面利潤償還債務; 它需要現金。 因此,我們顯然需要查看EBIT是否導致相應的自由現金流。 在過去的三年中,浦林成山控股的自由現金流佔其EBIT的37%,低於我們的預期。 就還債而言,這並不理想。

Our View

我們的觀點

The good news is that Prinx Chengshan Holdings's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like Prinx Chengshan Holdings is pretty sensible with its use of debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Prinx Chengshan Holdings is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

好消息是,浦林成山控股展示了用其EBIT覆蓋利息支出的能力,就像一隻蓬鬆小狗讓幼兒快樂一樣。但更爲嚴肅的是,我們對其將EBIT轉化爲自由現金流的做法有些擔憂。當考慮上述因素的範圍時,浦林成山控股在運用債務方面似乎非常明智。儘管這帶來一些風險,但也可以提升股東的回報。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表上了解最多關於債務的內容。然而,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中-遠非如此。請注意,我們的投資分析顯示浦林成山控股展示了1個警示信號,您應該知曉...

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

說到底,有時候更容易集中精力關注根本不需要債務的公司。讀者可以免費訪問零淨債務增長股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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