Earnings Growth of 1.1% Over 3 Years Hasn't Been Enough to Translate Into Positive Returns for Patterson Companies (NASDAQ:PDCO) Shareholders
Earnings Growth of 1.1% Over 3 Years Hasn't Been Enough to Translate Into Positive Returns for Patterson Companies (NASDAQ:PDCO) Shareholders
As an investor its worth striving to ensure your overall portfolio beats the market average. But the risk of stock picking is that you will likely buy under-performing companies. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term Patterson Companies, Inc. (NASDAQ:PDCO) shareholders, since the share price is down 38% in the last three years, falling well short of the market return of around 25%. And more recent buyers are having a tough time too, with a drop of 31% in the last year. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 13% in the last three months.
作爲投資者,努力確保整體投資組合的表現超過市場平均水平是值得的。但是股票選擇的風險在於您可能會買入表現不佳的公司。不幸的是,長揸帕特森公司(NASDAQ:PDCO)股票的股東們就遇到了這種情況,因爲股價在過去三年下跌了38%,遠遠低於約25%的市場回報。而最近的買家們也遇到了困難,過去一年下跌了31%。最近股價的跌幅加劇,過去三個月內下跌了13%。
Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.
考慮到過去一週對股東來說是艱難的,讓我們調查一下基本面並看看我們能學到什麼。
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
雖然有效市場假說仍然被一些人教授,但被證明市場是過度反應的動態系統,投資者並不總是理性的。檢查市場情緒如何隨時間變化的一種方法是看一個公司的股價與其每股收益(EPS)之間的交互作用。
During the unfortunate three years of share price decline, Patterson Companies actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 3.5% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.
在不幸的三年股價下跌期間,帕特森公司的每股收益(EPS)實際上每年增長3.5%。鑑於股價的反應,人們可能懷疑EPS在該期間並不是業績的良好指標(可能是因爲一次性損益)。另外,過去的增長預期可能是不切實際的。
It's pretty reasonable to suspect the market was previously to bullish on the stock, and has since moderated expectations. But it's possible a look at other metrics will be enlightening.
認爲市場過去對該股過於看好,並且此後調整了預期是相當合理的。但檢查其他指標可能是有啓迪性的。
Given the healthiness of the dividend payments, we doubt that they've concerned the market. Patterson Companies has maintained its top line over three years, so we doubt that has shareholders worried. So it might be worth looking at how revenue growth over time, in greater detail.
鑑於分紅派息的可持續性,我們懷疑它們是否受到市場關注。 帕特森公司在過去三年內保持了其營業收入水平,因此我們懷疑股東是否感到擔憂。 因此,值得更詳細地查看營業收入的時間增長。
You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
你可以在下面的圖片中看到收入和營業收入隨時間的變化情況(單擊圖表可查看精確值)。
Balance sheet strength is crucial. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.
資產負債表強度至關重要。查看我們關於其財務狀況如何隨時間變化的免費報告可能很值得一看。
What About Dividends?
那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Patterson Companies, it has a TSR of -31% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
重要考慮總股東回報以及股價回報,對於任何給定的股票。 TSR是一種回報計算,它考慮了現金股息的價值(假設任何收到的股息都是再投資的)以及任何折現資本募集和剝離價值的計算。 可以說,TSR爲支付股息的股票提供了更完整的圖景。就帕特森公司而言,過去3年內其TSR爲-31%。 這超過了我們先前提到的股價回報。 毫無疑問,分紅派息在很大程度上解釋了這種差距!
A Different Perspective
不同的觀點
Investors in Patterson Companies had a tough year, with a total loss of 29% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 32%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 7% per year over half a decade. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Patterson Companies (including 2 which are a bit unpleasant) .
帕特森公司的投資者度過了艱難的一年,總損失達到29%(包括分紅),而市場收益約爲32%。然而,請記住,即使是最好的股票有時也會在十二個月的時間裏表現不佳。從積極的一面來看,長期股東賺了錢,五年半內年均增長7%。如果基本數據繼續顯示長期可持續增長,目前的拋售可能是值得考慮的機會。我發現長期來看股價作爲業務表現的一種替代指標非常有趣。但要真正獲得洞察力,我們還需要考慮其他信息。爲此,您應該了解我們在帕特森公司發現的3個警示信號(其中有2個有點不愉快)。
For those who like to find winning investments this free list of undervalued companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.
對於那些喜歡尋找獲勝投資的人來說,最近有內部購買的低估公司免費列表可能是一個很好的選擇。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
請注意,本文所引述的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。