China Railway Construction Heavy Industry Corporation Limited (SHSE:688425) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 35% share price jump in the last month. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 15% is also fairly reasonable.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, China Railway Construction Heavy Industry may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 19.1x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 34x and even P/E's higher than 64x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
Recent times haven't been advantageous for China Railway Construction Heavy Industry as its earnings have been falling quicker than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the dismal earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping the earnings slide doesn't get any worse if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
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How Is China Railway Construction Heavy Industry's Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as China Railway Construction Heavy Industry's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 29%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 49% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 19% per annum as estimated by the only analyst watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 19% per annum, which is not materially different.
With this information, we find it odd that China Railway Construction Heavy Industry is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.
The Key Takeaway
China Railway Construction Heavy Industry's stock might have been given a solid boost, but its P/E certainly hasn't reached any great heights. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that China Railway Construction Heavy Industry currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is in line with the wider market. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the outlook. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.
It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for China Railway Construction Heavy Industry that you need to take into consideration.
If you're unsure about the strength of China Railway Construction Heavy Industry's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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