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Jiayou International LogisticsLtd's (SHSE:603871) Three-year Earnings Growth Trails the 61% YoY Shareholder Returns

Jiayou International LogisticsLtd's (SHSE:603871) Three-year Earnings Growth Trails the 61% YoY Shareholder Returns

好友國際物流有限公司(SHSE:603871)三年收益增長率低於股東61%的年度回報率
Simply Wall St ·  2024/10/09 09:17

It might seem bad, but the worst that can happen when you buy a stock (without leverage) is that its share price goes to zero. But if you buy shares in a really great company, you can more than double your money. To wit, the Jiayou International Logistics Co.,Ltd (SHSE:603871) share price has flown 294% in the last three years. Most would be happy with that. It's also up 36% in about a month. But the price may well have benefitted from a buoyant market, since stocks have gained 25% in the last thirty days.

買股票(不使用槓桿)可能看起來很糟糕,但最糟糕的情況就是其股價跌至零。但如果你買入一家真正優秀的公司的股票,你可以將你的資金增加一倍以上。舉例來說,嘉友國際物流股份有限公司(SHSE:603871)的股價在過去三年飆升了294%。大多數人都會對此感到滿意。它在大約一個月內也上漲了36%。但股價很可能受益於一個繁榮的市場,因爲股票在過去三十天中上漲了25%。

On the back of a solid 7-day performance, let's check what role the company's fundamentals have played in driving long term shareholder returns.

在穩定的七天表現之後,讓我們看看公司的基本面對長期股東回報的影響。

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

禾倫·巴菲特在他的論文《格雷厄姆-道德斯維爾的超級投資者》中描述了股票價格並不總是合理地反映企業的價值。通過比較每股收益(EPS)和股價隨時間變化的變化,我們可以了解到投資者對某家公司的態度如何隨時間而變化。

Jiayou International LogisticsLtd was able to grow its EPS at 42% per year over three years, sending the share price higher. In comparison, the 58% per year gain in the share price outpaces the EPS growth. This indicates that the market is feeling more optimistic on the stock, after the last few years of progress. It's not unusual to see the market 're-rate' a stock, after a few years of growth.

嘉友國際物流股份有限公司過去三年成功以每年42%的速度增長其每股收益,推動股價上漲。相比之下,股價每年增長58%,超過了每股收益的增長。這表明市場對該股持有更加樂觀的態度,經過過去幾年的進展。在幾年的增長之後,看到市場「重新評估」股票並不罕見。

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

該公司的每股收益(隨時間的推移)如下圖所示(單擊可查看確切數字)。

big
SHSE:603871 Earnings Per Share Growth October 9th 2024
SHSE:603871每股收益增長2024年10月9日

It is of course excellent to see how Jiayou International LogisticsLtd has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.

看到嘉友國際物流有些年來利潤增長當然是非常好的,但對於股東來說未來更爲重要。免費報告中它的財務狀況如何隨時間變化可能值得一看。

What About Dividends?

那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Jiayou International LogisticsLtd, it has a TSR of 320% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

在考慮投資回報時,重要的是考慮總股東回報(TSR)和股價回報之間的差異。而股價回報僅反映股價的變化,TSR包括分紅的價值(假設重新投資)以及任何折讓資本籌集或分拆的利益。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司,TSR往往比股價回報高得多。在嘉友國際物流Ltd的情況下,過去3年TSR爲320%。這超過了我們之前提到的股價回報。毫不奇怪,股息支付很大程度上解釋了這種分歧!

A Different Perspective

不同的觀點

We're pleased to report that Jiayou International LogisticsLtd shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 93% over one year. And that does include the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 34% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Jiayou International LogisticsLtd you should be aware of.

我們很高興地報告,嘉友國際物流Ltd股東在過去一年中獲得了93%的總股東回報。這包括股息在內。這比過去半個-decade的年化回報34%要好,意味着公司最近表現更好。在最理想的情況下,這可能暗示着一些真正的業務動力,這可能是深入了解的好時機。我覺得長期內關注股價作爲業績的一種代理非常有意思。但要真正獲得洞察力,我們也需要考慮其他信息。舉例來說:我們發現嘉友國際物流Ltd有一個警告標誌,你應該了解。

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of undervalued small caps that insiders are buying.

如果您像我一樣,就不會希望錯過這份免費的內部人士正在購買的低估小市值股票列表。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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