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Pulling Back 7.1% This Week, Henan Zhongyuan Expressway's SHSE:600020) Three-year Decline in Earnings May Be Coming Into Investors Focus

Pulling Back 7.1% This Week, Henan Zhongyuan Expressway's SHSE:600020) Three-year Decline in Earnings May Be Coming Into Investors Focus

本週下跌7.1%,中原高速(SHSE:600020)將近三年來收益下降可能成爲投資者關注焦點
Simply Wall St ·  2024/10/10 07:17

One simple way to benefit from the stock market is to buy an index fund. But many of us dare to dream of bigger returns, and build a portfolio ourselves. For example, the Henan Zhongyuan Expressway Company Limited (SHSE:600020) share price is up 18% in the last three years, clearly besting the market decline of around 11% (not including dividends). However, more recent returns haven't been as impressive as that, with the stock returning just 18% in the last year, including dividends.

從股市中獲益的一個簡單方法是購買指數基金。 但是我們許多人敢於夢想獲得更大的回報,並自己建立投資組合。 例如,中原高速公司有限公司(SHSE:600020)股價在過去三年中上漲了18%,明顯超過市場下跌約11%(不包括股息)。 然而,最近的回報並不像那樣令人印象深刻,該股票去年的回報僅爲18%,包括股息。

While this past week has detracted from the company's three-year return, let's look at the recent trends of the underlying business and see if the gains have been in alignment.

儘管過去一週公司的三年回報率有所下降,但讓我們看看基礎業務的最近趨勢,以確定收益是否與之相符。

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

用本傑明·格雷厄姆的話來說:「短期市場是一臺投票機,但長期市場是一臺稱重機」。檢查市場情緒如何隨時間推移變化的一種方式是查看公司股價和每股收益(EPS)之間的相互作用。

During the three years of share price growth, Henan Zhongyuan Expressway actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) drop 9.4% per year.

在股價增長的三年內,中原高速實際上看到其每股收益(EPS)每年下降9.4%。

This means it's unlikely the market is judging the company based on earnings growth. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

這意味着市場不太可能根據收益增長來評估公司。由於EPS的變化似乎不與股價的變化相關,因此值得關注其他指標。

You can only imagine how long term shareholders feel about the declining revenue trend (slipping at 1.3% per year). What's clear is that historic earnings and revenue aren't matching up with the share price action, very well. So you might have to dig deeper to get a grasp of the situation

只能想象長期股東對營業收入下降趨勢(每年下滑1.3%)的感受。顯而易見的是,歷史盈利和營業收入與股價走勢並不完全匹配。因此,您可能需要深入挖掘情況。

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

您可以看到以下收益和營收的變化情況(通過單擊圖像了解精確值)。

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SHSE:600020 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 9th 2024
SHSE:600020盈利和營業收入增長於2024年10月9日

If you are thinking of buying or selling Henan Zhongyuan Expressway stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

如果您正在考慮購買或賣出中原高速股票,您應該查看這份免費的詳細報告,了解其資產負債表。

What About Dividends?

那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, Henan Zhongyuan Expressway's TSR for the last 3 years was 27%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

對於任何給定的股票,考慮總股東回報以及股價回報是很重要的。TSR是一種回報計算,考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何股息都已再投資)以及任何折現的增資和剝離的計算值。可以說,TSR爲支付股息的股票提供了更完整的畫面。恰好,中原高速過去3年的TSR爲27%,超過之前提到的股價回報。這在很大程度上是其分紅支付的結果!

A Different Perspective

不同的觀點

We're pleased to report that Henan Zhongyuan Expressway shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 18% over one year. That's including the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 0.5% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Henan Zhongyuan Expressway better, we need to consider many other factors. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Henan Zhongyuan Expressway you should be aware of, and 2 of them are significant.

我們很高興地報告,中原高速公路的股東在一年內收到了18%的總股東回報。 這包括分紅派息。 由於一年的TSR優於五年的TSR(後者每年爲0.5%),似乎股票的表現在最近有所改善。 一個持樂觀態度的人可能會將TSR的最近改善視爲業務本身隨着時間的推移而變得更好的跡象。 跟蹤股價長期表現總是很有趣。 但要更好地了解中原高速,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。 例如:我們發現中原高速有3個警告信號,您應該注意,其中有2個是重要的。

Of course Henan Zhongyuan Expressway may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

當然,中原高速可能不是最好的股票可購買。因此,您可能希望查看這些免費的成長股收藏。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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