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Here's Why We Think First Tractor (HKG:38) Is Well Worth Watching

Here's Why We Think First Tractor (HKG:38) Is Well Worth Watching

以下是我們認爲一拖股份(HKG:38)值得關注的原因
Simply Wall St ·  10/10 12:17

It's common for many investors, especially those who are inexperienced, to buy shares in companies with a good story even if these companies are loss-making. But as Peter Lynch said in One Up On Wall Street, 'Long shots almost never pay off.' A loss-making company is yet to prove itself with profit, and eventually the inflow of external capital may dry up.

對於許多投資者,尤其是那些缺乏經驗的投資者,購買故事好的公司的股票是很常見的,即使這些公司是虧損的。但正如彼得·林奇在《華爾街智慧》中所說的,「長跑幾乎從來沒有收益」。虧損公司還沒有通過盈利證明自己,最終外部資金的流入可能會乾涸。

In contrast to all that, many investors prefer to focus on companies like First Tractor (HKG:38), which has not only revenues, but also profits. Now this is not to say that the company presents the best investment opportunity around, but profitability is a key component to success in business.

與所有板塊相比,許多投資者更喜歡關注一拖股份(HKG:38)這樣不僅有營業收入,還有利潤的公司。 這並不是說該公司提供了最佳的投資機會,但盈利是成功的關鍵因素之一。

How Fast Is First Tractor Growing?

一拖股份的增長速度如何?

If you believe that markets are even vaguely efficient, then over the long term you'd expect a company's share price to follow its earnings per share (EPS) outcomes. That means EPS growth is considered a real positive by most successful long-term investors. It certainly is nice to see that First Tractor has managed to grow EPS by 32% per year over three years. If growth like this continues on into the future, then shareholders will have plenty to smile about.

如果你認爲市場是稍微有效的,那麼長期以來,你會希望一家公司的股價跟隨其每股收益(EPS)的表現。 這意味着大多數成功的長期投資者認爲EPS增長是一個真正的積極因素。 非常高興看到一拖股份在過去三年裏每年成功增長32%的EPS。 如果這樣的增長繼續下去,那麼股東們將有很多理由微笑。

Careful consideration of revenue growth and earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margins can help inform a view on the sustainability of the recent profit growth. First Tractor's EBIT margins are flat but, worryingly, its revenue is actually down. While this may raise concerns, investors should investigate the reasoning behind this.

仔細考慮營業收入增長和利潤增長前的利息和稅前稅後利潤(EBIT)率可以幫助了解最近利潤增長的可持續性。 一拖股份的EBIT率持平,但令人擔憂的是其營業收入實際上有所下降。 雖然這可能引起擔憂,但投資者應該調查背後的原因。

The chart below shows how the company's bottom and top lines have progressed over time. For finer detail, click on the image.

下圖顯示了該公司底線和頂線隨着時間的推移而發展的情況。點擊圖片以獲取更精細的詳細信息。

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SEHK:38 Earnings and Revenue History October 10th 2024
SEHK:38營業收入與收益歷史2024年10月10日

While profitability drives the upside, prudent investors always check the balance sheet, too.

儘管利潤帶來上行動能,但審慎投資者也應檢查資產負債表。

Are First Tractor Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

一拖股份內部人員與所有股東是否保持一致?

It's a good habit to check into a company's remuneration policies to ensure that the CEO and management team aren't putting their own interests before that of the shareholder with excessive salary packages. The median total compensation for CEOs of companies similar in size to First Tractor, with market caps between CN¥7.1b and CN¥23b, is around CN¥4.2m.

檢查公司的薪酬政策是一個好習慣,以確保CEO和管理團隊不會通過過高的薪酬套餐將自身利益置於股東利益之前。與一拖股份相似規模,並且市值在71億至230億人民幣之間的公司的CEO的中位數總補償約爲420萬元。

First Tractor's CEO took home a total compensation package of CN¥1.8m in the year prior to December 2023. That's clearly well below average, so at a glance that arrangement seems generous to shareholders and points to a modest remuneration culture. CEO remuneration levels are not the most important metric for investors, but when the pay is modest, that does support enhanced alignment between the CEO and the ordinary shareholders. Generally, arguments can be made that reasonable pay levels attest to good decision-making.

一拖股份的CEO在2023年12月之前的一年中獲得了總補償包,金額爲180萬元。那明顯低於平均水平,因此乍一看該安排對股東慷慨,並且表明了一種溫和的薪酬文化。 CEO薪酬水平並不是投資者最重要的指標,但當薪酬較爲溫和時,這確實支持CEO與普通股東之間的增強一致性。一般來說,可以提出合理的薪酬水平證明有效的決策。

Is First Tractor Worth Keeping An Eye On?

一拖股份值得關注嗎?

You can't deny that First Tractor has grown its earnings per share at a very impressive rate. That's attractive. Strong EPS growth is a great look for the company and reasonable CEO compensation sweetens the deal for investors ass it alludes to management being conscious of frivolous spending. We think that based on its merits alone, this stock is worth watching into the future. It's still necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with First Tractor , and understanding it should be part of your investment process.

您無法否認一拖股份以非常令人印象深刻的速度增長了每股收益。這是非常吸引人的。強勁的每股收益增長對公司來說是一種很好的展示,而合理的CEO薪酬使投資者感到甜美,因爲這表明管理層意識到不必要的支出。我們認爲單單基於其優點,這支股票值得未來關注。考慮到投資風險的普遍存在仍然是必要的。我們已經發現了一項關於一拖股份的警告信號,理解這一點應該成爲您投資過程的一部分。

While opting for stocks without growing earnings and absent insider buying can yield results, for investors valuing these key metrics, here is a carefully selected list of companies in HK with promising growth potential and insider confidence.

儘管選擇那些沒有增長盈利和沒有內部人員買入的股票也可能帶來結果,但對於重視這些重要指標的投資者,在香港具有潛在增長潛力和內部信心的公司中,這裏是一個經過精心挑選的列表。

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

請注意,本文討論的內部交易是指在相關司法管轄區中報告的交易。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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