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Trump Vs. Harris: New Poll Shows Pennsylvania May Flip As Vice President's Support Among This Key Group Deteriorates

Trump Vs. Harris: New Poll Shows Pennsylvania May Flip As Vice President's Support Among This Key Group Deteriorates

特朗普對抗賀錦麗:新民調顯示賓夕法尼亞可能會轉變,副總統在這一關鍵群體中的支持率下降
Benzinga ·  10/10 08:22

After a fairly solid lead during the early days of Vice President Kamala Harris' entry into the race, the equation has become more even now, and voter sentiment in key swing states, therefore, assumes importance. A recent poll that concluded on Tuesday suggests Republican candidate Donald Trump now leads in the key swing state of Pennsylvania, which goes by the moniker 'Keystone State.'

在賀錦麗副總統進入競選的早期階段,他擁有相當穩定的領先優勢,但現在形勢變得更加平衡,關鍵搖擺州的選民情緒因此變得更加重要。週二結束的最新民意調查顯示,共和黨候選人特朗普概念現在在關鍵搖擺州賓夕法尼亞州領先,該州被稱爲「基石州」。

What Happened: Trump was ahead of Harris by a two percentage point margin as he received 48% support of voters in the key swing state of Pennsylvania compared to 46% for the latter, a survey by InsiderAdvantage showed. About 2% supported others and 2% of the voters surveyed were undecided.

發生了什麼:特朗普在關鍵搖擺州賓夕法尼亞州得到了48%的支持率,領先於賀錦麗2個百分點,後者得到了46%的支持率,InsiderAdvantage的一項調查顯示。約有2%的支持者支持其他候選人,被調查選民中有2%尚未做出決定。

The only sore spot is that the lead is still fragile, given it was within the survey's margin of error of 3.46%.

唯一的痛點在於領先地位仍然脆弱,因爲這在調查的3.46%誤差範圍內。

The pollster said the former president was gaining momentum in the state, with his support among independents, seniors and African voters either increasing or holding steady. On the other hand, Harris' support among African American males has deteriorated a bit.

民調人士表示,前總統在這個州的勢頭正在增長,他在獨立選民、老年人和非裔選民中的支持率要麼增加,要麼保持穩定。另一方面,賀錦麗在非裔美國男性中的支持有所下降。

"This race continues to remain very close with turnout and enthusiasm remaining important," the pollster said, adding that the Democrats currently enjoy a slight advantage with regard to enthusiasm at this point, although the gap has narrowed.

「這場競爭仍然非常激烈,投票率和熱情仍然至關重要,」民調人士表示,並補充說,儘管差距已經縮小,但目前民主黨在熱情度方面享有輕微優勢。

Another sign of the shifting momentum is the narrowing gap in voter sentiment toward the Senate candidates. Sen. Bob Casey Jr. (D-Pa.) is now ahead of his Republican rival Dave McCormick by only two points, with the equation at 47%-45%, the pollster said.

另一個勢頭轉變的跡象是參議院候選人之間選民情緒的差距在縮小。賓夕法尼亞州參議員鮑勃·凱西(D-Pa.)現在以兩個百分點領先於他的共和黨對手戴夫·麥考密克,比例爲47%-45%,民調人士表示。

Why It's Important: The poll results come with just 25 days away from the all-important Nov. 5 election, which will seal the fate of the candidates. Pennsylvania has 19 electoral college votes and this state went to President Joe Biden in the 2020 election by a little over 1% margin.

爲什麼這很重要:這項民意調查結果距離重要的11月5日選舉只有25天了,這將決定候選人的命運。賓夕法尼亞州有19張選舉人票,這個州在2020年的選舉中略微超過1%的優勢歸屬於喬·拜登總統。

An Emerson College poll conducted from Sept. 27-28 showed both Trump and Harris tied, with 48% support each.

愛默生學院在9月27日至28日進行的一項民意調查顯示,特朗普和賀錦麗的支持率相等,都爲48%。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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