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Those Who Invested in Mercury General (NYSE:MCY) a Year Ago Are up 132%

Those Who Invested in Mercury General (NYSE:MCY) a Year Ago Are up 132%

那些一年前投資於默邱利通用(紐交所:MCY)的人如今已經賺了132%
Simply Wall St ·  10/10 10:48

Unless you borrow money to invest, the potential losses are limited. But if you pick the right stock, you can make a lot more than 100%. For example, the Mercury General Corporation (NYSE:MCY) share price has soared 126% return in just a single year. On top of that, the share price is up 21% in about a quarter. However, the longer term returns haven't been so impressive, with the stock up just 16% in the last three years.

除非您借錢投資,潛在的損失是有限的。但如果您選擇了正確的股票,您可以獲得超過100%的收益。例如,默邱利通用公司(紐交所:MCY)的股價在短短一年內飆升了126%。此外,股價在約一個季度內上漲了21%。然而,從長期來看,股票的回報並不那麼令人印象深刻,過去三年股價僅上漲了16%。

With that in mind, it's worth seeing if the company's underlying fundamentals have been the driver of long term performance, or if there are some discrepancies.

鑑於此,值得看看該公司的基本面是否一直是長期業績的驅動因素,或者是否存在一些不一致之處。

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

市場有時無疑是高效的,但價格並不總是反映基礎業務表現。 一種檢查市場情緒如何隨時間改變的方法是查看公司的股價與每股收益(EPS)之間的互動。

Mercury General went from making a loss to reporting a profit, in the last year.

在過去一年中,默邱利通用從虧損轉爲盈利。

When a company is just on the edge of profitability it can be well worth considering other metrics in order to more precisely gauge growth (and therefore understand share price movements).

當一家公司處於盈虧邊緣時,考慮其他指標以更精確地衡量增長(從而了解股價走勢)是非常值得的。

We doubt the modest 1.9% dividend yield is doing much to support the share price. However the year on year revenue growth of 18% would help. Many businesses do go through a phase where they have to forgo some profits to drive business development, and sometimes its for the best.

我們懷疑,僅有1.9%的股息收益率並未對支撐股價起到太大作用。然而,18%的同比營業收入增長將會有所幫助。許多企業都會經歷一個階段,在這個階段裏他們必須放棄一些利潤來推動業務發展,有時是最明智的選擇。

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下圖顯示了收益和營收隨時間變化的情況(如果你點擊圖像,可以看到更多細節):

big
NYSE:MCY Earnings and Revenue Growth October 10th 2024
紐交所:MCY 2024年10月10日收益和營業收入增長

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. This free report showing analyst forecasts should help you form a view on Mercury General

值得一提的是,這家公司的CEO比同等規模的公司中位數薪酬要低。但是,儘管CEO的報酬總是值得檢查的,真正重要的問題是公司未來是否能增長收益。此免費報告展示了分析師的預測,應該有助於您形成對默邱利通用的觀點

What About Dividends?

那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Mercury General the TSR over the last 1 year was 132%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

除了衡量股價回報,投資者還應考慮總股東回報(TSR)。 TSR是一種回報計算,考慮到現金股息的價值(假設任何已收到的股息已重新投資)以及任何折讓資本增發和分拆的計算價值。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司,TSR往往比股價回報高得多。我們注意到,對於默邱利通用,過去1年的TSR爲132%,比上述股價回報更好。因此,公司支付的股息提升了總股東回報。

A Different Perspective

不同的觀點

We're pleased to report that Mercury General shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 132% over one year. And that does include the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 8% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Mercury General that you should be aware of before investing here.

我們很高興地報告,默邱利通用股東在一年內獲得了總股東回報率達132%。而這確實包括了分紅派息。由於一年內的TSR優於五年的TSR(後者每年爲8%),似乎股票的表現在近期有所改善。鑑於股價勢頭仍然強勁,值得仔細觀察股票,以免錯失機會。我發現長期觀察股價作爲業務績效的一種替代手段非常有趣。但要真正獲得深刻見解,我們也需要考慮其他信息。例如,我們發現了默邱利通用存在一個警示標誌,投資前您應該注意。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果您願意查看另一家公司(具有潛在的更好財務狀況),請不要錯過這個免費的公司列表,證明它們可以增長收益。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

請注意,本文所引述的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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