Here's Why Dillard's (NYSE:DDS) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
Here's Why Dillard's (NYSE:DDS) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Dillard's, Inc. (NYSE:DDS) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
伯克希爾哈撒韋的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理、李錄(Li Lu)直言不諱,他表示:「最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是您是否會遭受永久性的資本損失。」因此,看起來聰明的錢都知道債務 - 通常涉及破產 - 是評估公司風險有多大的一個非常重要因素。與許多其他公司一樣,Dillard's公司(紐約證券交易所:DDS)也在使用債務。但股東們是否應該擔心公司的債務使用呢?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
債務帶來了什麼風險?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
借債可以幫助企業,直到企業因無法獲得新的資本或自由現金流而無法償還。如果情況真的很糟糕,債權人可以接管企業。然而,一種更常見(但仍然痛苦)的情況是,企業必須以低價籌集新的股權資本,從而永久稀釋股東權益。但是,通過替代稀釋,債務可以成爲需要資本投資以高回報率增長的企業的極佳工具。當我們考慮公司使用債務時,我們首先看現金和債務的總和。
What Is Dillard's's Debt?
迪拉德百貨的債務是多少?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Dillard's had US$521.5m in debt in August 2024; about the same as the year before. However, it does have US$1.07b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of US$549.0m.
下面的圖表顯示,迪拉德百貨在2024年8月的債務爲5.215億美元;與前一年大致相同。然而,其有10.7億美元的現金抵消,導致淨現金爲5.49億美元。
A Look At Dillard's' Liabilities
看一下迪拉德百貨的負債情況
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Dillard's had liabilities of US$780.3m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$932.6m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$1.07b and US$103.6m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$538.8m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
深入研究最新資產負債表數據,我們可以看到迪拉德百貨有近期到期的負債爲7.803 億美元,而超過12個月到期的負債爲9.326 億美元。另一方面,它手頭有10.7 億美元的現金和一年內到期的應收賬款價值1.036 億美元。因此,它的負債總額爲5.388 億美元,超過了其現金和近期應收賬款的合計額。
Since publicly traded Dillard's shares are worth a total of US$5.92b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Dillard's boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
由於迪拉德百貨的上市股票總值爲59.2 億美元,這種水平的負債看起來不太可能構成重大威脅。但存在足夠的負債,我們肯定會建議股東繼續監控資產負債表的變化。儘管其顯著的負債,迪拉德百貨擁有淨現金,所以可以說其負債不重!
In fact Dillard's's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 20% in the last twelve months. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Dillard's can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
事實上,迪拉德百貨的救世主是低債務水平,因爲其息稅前利潤在過去12個月中下降了20%。收益下降(如果趨勢持續下去)最終可能使即使是小額債務也相當風險。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中最多了解到債務情況。但最終業務的未來盈利能力將決定迪拉德百貨是否可以隨時間加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您專注於未來,您可以查看此免費報告,其中顯示了分析師的盈利預測。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Dillard's has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, Dillard's produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 80% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
但我們的最後考慮也很重要,因爲一家公司不能用紙面利潤償還債務;它需要冰冷硬通貨。雖然迪拉德百貨的資產負債表上有淨現金,但仍然值得查看其將息稅前利潤(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解其積累(或侵蝕)現金的速度。在過去三年中,迪拉德百貨產生了穩健的自由現金流,相當於其EBIT的80%,大約符合我們的預期。這種自由現金流使公司有能力在適當時償還債務。
Summing Up
總之
We could understand if investors are concerned about Dillard's's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of US$549.0m. The cherry on top was that in converted 80% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in US$531m. So we don't have any problem with Dillard's's use of debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Dillard's has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
如果投資者對Dillard's的負債感到擔憂,我們是可以理解的,但事實上,它擁有5.49億美元的淨現金。最令人欣慰的是,它將其中的80%轉化爲自由現金流,帶來了5.31億美元。所以我們對Dillard's的債務使用沒有任何問題。當你分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是需要關注的領域。然而,並非所有投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。例如,Dillard's有1個警示信號,我們認爲您應該注意。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
當然,如果您是那種喜歡購買沒有債務負擔的股票的投資者,那麼不要猶豫,立即發現我們獨家的淨現金增長股票列表。
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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。