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Trump Widens Lead Over Harris In Betting Odds On Prediction Markets —Sets A New High On Crypto-Based Polymarket

Trump Widens Lead Over Harris In Betting Odds On Prediction Markets —Sets A New High On Crypto-Based Polymarket

特朗普在預測市場的賭注中領先賀錦麗——在基於加密貨幣的Polymarket上創下新高
Benzinga ·  21:39

Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump set an all-time high in presidential betting odds against Vice President Kamala Harris on Polymarket.

共和黨總統候選人特朗普在Polymarket對副總統賀錦麗的總統競選賠率創下歷史新高。

What happened: Punters on the so-called decentralized prediction market gave the former President more than a 55% chance of regaining power, up from 49% last week.

在所謂的去中心化預測市場上,投資者認爲前總統重新奪權的幾率超過55%,比上週的49%有所增加。

Harris' odds have steadily slipped from the majority mark a week earlier to 44% as of this writing.

賀錦麗的勝率從一週前的多數派地位穩步下降至44%。

Bets in favor of Trump exceeded 70% when incumbent Joe Biden was in the race. However, Biden's withdrawal from the race and Harris' elevation to the forefront of the Democratic presidential ticket caused a dramatic shift in sentiment.

在現任總統喬拜登參選時,支持特朗普的賭注超過了70%。然而,拜登退出競選,賀錦麗晉升爲民主黨總統候選人的領頭羊,導致情緒發生了戲劇性的轉變。

The battle not only became closer, but Harris established a 9-point lead at one point in August.

這場鬥爭不僅變得更加激烈,賀錦麗還在八月間某個時刻確立了9個百分點的領先地位。

A whopping $1.7 billion has been wagered on the outcome, making it the highest betted event on Polymarket.

已經有高達$17億的賭注下注在這一結果上,使其成爲Polymarket中下注額最高的事件。

Why It Matters: Polymarket, built on Ethereum's (CRYPTO: ETH) Layer-2 protocol Polygon (CRYPTO: MATIC), has gained prominence as one of the world's top prediction markets for U.S. elections in recent months, though ironically, U.S. users can't access the platform due to federal regulations.

爲什麼這很重要:Polymarket建立在以太幣(CRYPTO:ETH)的Layer-2協議Polygon(CRYPTO:MATIC)上,作爲最近幾個月內美國選舉中最重要的預測市場之一嶄露頭角,儘管具有諷刺意味的是,由於聯邦法規,美國用戶無法訪問該平台。

Trump's odds also hit 52% against Harris' 48% on Kalshi, a prediction platform that, unlike Polymarket, is legal in the U.S.

特朗普在Kalshi上的勝算也達到了52%,遠遠超過了賀錦麗的48%,Kalshi是一家預測平台,與Polymarket不同,在美國是合法的。

The flipping followed Tesla CEO Elon Musk's fervent appeal to vote for Trump when the two appeared at a rally last week in Butler, PA.

特斯拉首席執行官埃隆·馬斯克上週與特朗普概念在巴特勒的集會上露面之後,推特發出了他的熱切呼籲。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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