share_log

Investing in International Flavors & Fragrances (NYSE:IFF) a Year Ago Would Have Delivered You a 64% Gain

Investing in International Flavors & Fragrances (NYSE:IFF) a Year Ago Would Have Delivered You a 64% Gain

一年前投資紐交所的國際香料和香精(IFF)將使您獲得64%的收益
Simply Wall St ·  10/11 13:50

If you want to compound wealth in the stock market, you can do so by buying an index fund. But one can do better than that by picking better than average stocks (as part of a diversified portfolio). To wit, the International Flavors & Fragrances Inc. (NYSE:IFF) share price is 60% higher than it was a year ago, much better than the market return of around 32% (not including dividends) in the same period. So that should have shareholders smiling. On the other hand, longer term shareholders have had a tougher run, with the stock falling 31% in three years.

如果你想在股市中複利財富,你可以通過買入指數基金來實現。但是,通過挑選好於平均水平的股票(作爲多樣化投資組合的一部分),一個人可以做得更好。舉例來說,國際味香料公司(紐交所:IFF)的股價比一年前高出60%,遠遠好於同一時期市場大約32%的回報(不包括分紅)。那麼股東應該會面帶微笑。另一方面,長期股東面臨更艱難的情況,股價在三年內下跌了31%。

Now it's worth having a look at the company's fundamentals too, because that will help us determine if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business.

現在值得更詳細地了解該公司的基本面,因爲這將幫助我們判斷長期股東回報是否與基礎業務的表現相匹配。

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

禾倫·巴菲特在他的論文《格雷厄姆-道德斯維爾的超級投資者》中描述了股票價格並不總是合理地反映企業的價值。通過比較每股收益(EPS)和股價隨時間變化的變化,我們可以了解到投資者對某家公司的態度如何隨時間而變化。

During the last year International Flavors & Fragrances saw its earnings per share (EPS) drop below zero. While some may see this as temporary, we're a skeptical bunch, and so we're a little surprised to see the share price go up. It may be that the company has done well on other metrics.

在過去一年中,國際味香料公司的每股收益(EPS)下降至零以下。雖然有些人可能認爲這是暫時的,但我們是一群懷疑論者,所以看到股價上漲有點驚訝。也許這家公司在其他指標上表現不錯。

We doubt the modest 1.6% dividend yield is doing much to support the share price. International Flavors & Fragrances' revenue actually dropped 4.7% over last year. So the fundamental metrics don't provide an obvious explanation for the share price gain.

我們懷疑微薄的1.6%股息率對支撐股價起不了太大作用。國際味香料公司的營業收入實際上比去年下降了4.7%。所以基本指標並沒有明顯解釋股價上漲的原因。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

以下圖像顯示了公司的營業收入和盈利(隨時間變化)(單擊以查看準確的數字)。

big
NYSE:IFF Earnings and Revenue Growth October 11th 2024
紐交所:IFF公司2024年10月11日的盈利和營業收入增長

International Flavors & Fragrances is well known by investors, and plenty of clever analysts have tried to predict the future profit levels. So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts

國際香料與香精備受投資者熟知,並有許多聰明的分析師嘗試預測未來的利潤水平。因此,我們建議查看這份免費報告,顯示共識預測。

What About Dividends?

那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for International Flavors & Fragrances the TSR over the last 1 year was 64%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

除了衡量股票價格回報外,投資者還應考慮總股東回報(TSR)。TSR包括任何分拆或折價增資的價值,以及任何分紅,基於分紅被再投資的假設。可以說,TSR爲支付股利的股票提供了更完整的圖片。我們注意到,國際香料與香精過去1年的TSR爲64%,優於上述提到的股價回報。毫無疑問,股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧!

A Different Perspective

不同的觀點

It's good to see that International Flavors & Fragrances has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 64% in the last twelve months. That's including the dividend. Notably the five-year annualised TSR loss of 0.3% per year compares very unfavourably with the recent share price performance. The long term loss makes us cautious, but the short term TSR gain certainly hints at a brighter future. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Even so, be aware that International Flavors & Fragrances is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

很高興看到國際香精香料公司在過去十二個月內以64%的股東回報獎勵股東。這還包括分紅派息。值得注意的是,過去五年的年均股東回報率虧損0.3%,與最近股價表現相比非常不利。長期虧損使我們保持謹慎,但短期股東回報率的增長無疑暗示着更光明的未來。雖然考慮了市場條件對股價的不同影響是很有價值的,但有其他更重要的因素。儘管如此,請注意,根據我們的投資分析,國際香精香料公司顯示了1個預警信號,您應該了解...

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of undervalued companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

對於那些喜歡尋找獲勝投資的人來說,最近有內部購買的低估公司免費列表可能是一個很好的選擇。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

請注意,本文所引述的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
    搶先評論