ITE (Holdings) Limited (HKG:8092) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 30% after a shaky period beforehand. Looking further back, the 15% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.
Since its price has surged higher, ITE (Holdings)'s price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 13.9x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 9x and even P/E's below 6x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
For example, consider that ITE (Holdings)'s financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on ITE (Holdings) will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
Is There Enough Growth For ITE (Holdings)?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like ITE (Holdings)'s to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 59%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 76% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 22% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.
In light of this, it's alarming that ITE (Holdings)'s P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Key Takeaway
ITE (Holdings) shares have received a push in the right direction, but its P/E is elevated too. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
Our examination of ITE (Holdings) revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 5 warning signs for ITE (Holdings) (2 don't sit too well with us!) that we have uncovered.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than ITE (Holdings). So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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