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Jihua Group (SHSE:601718 Investor Five-year Losses Grow to 17% as the Stock Sheds CN¥483m This Past Week

Jihua Group (SHSE:601718 Investor Five-year Losses Grow to 17% as the Stock Sheds CN¥483m This Past Week

計劃集團(SHSE:601718)投資者5年來的損失增長至17%,股價在上週蒸發了4.83億元人民幣
Simply Wall St ·  10/11 19:10

Jihua Group Corporation Limited (SHSE:601718) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 19% in the last month. But over the last half decade, the stock has not performed well. In fact, the share price is down 19%, which falls well short of the return you could get by buying an index fund.

際華集團有限公司(SHSE:601718)的股東應該很高興看到股價在過去一個月上漲了19%。但在過去的半個十年裏,股票表現不佳。事實上,股價下跌了19%,遠遠低於您通過買入指數基金可以獲得的回報。

Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.

考慮到過去一週對股東來說是艱難的,讓我們調查一下基本面並看看我們能學到什麼。

While Jihua Group made a small profit, in the last year, we think that the market is probably more focussed on the top line growth at the moment. Generally speaking, we'd consider a stock like this alongside loss-making companies, simply because the quantum of the profit is so low. For shareholders to have confidence a company will grow profits significantly, it must grow revenue.

儘管際華集團在過去一年取得了小額利潤,但我們認爲市場目前可能更關注的是頂線增長。一般來說,我們會將這樣的股票與虧損的公司放在一起考慮,僅僅是因爲利潤量非常低。對股東來說,要相信一家公司將大幅增加利潤,它必須增長營業收入。

Over half a decade Jihua Group reduced its trailing twelve month revenue by 12% for each year. That puts it in an unattractive cohort, to put it mildly. On the face of it we'd posit the share price fall of 4% compound, over five years is well justified by the fundamental deterioration. We doubt many shareholders are delighted with this share price performance. It is possible for businesses to bounce back but as Buffett says, 'turnarounds seldom turn'.

在半個十年的時間裏,際華集團每年將其過去十二個月的營業收入減少了12%。這使得它處於一個不太吸引人的群體中,委婉地說。從表面上看,我們認爲股價在五年內以4%的複合方式下跌,這種基本惡化是完全合理的。我們懷疑許多股東會對這種股價表現感到高興。企業有可能實現復甦,但正如巴菲特所說,「扭虧很少會扭轉」。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

以下圖像顯示了公司的營業收入和盈利(隨時間變化)(單擊以查看準確的數字)。

big
SHSE:601718 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 11th 2024
SHSE:601718 2024年10月11日收入和盈利增長

We know that Jihua Group has improved its bottom line over the last three years, but what does the future have in store? Take a more thorough look at Jihua Group's financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.

我們知道際華集團在過去三年中改善了其底線,但未來會有什麼變化呢?通過查看此免費報告,更全面地了解際華集團的財務健康狀況。

What About Dividends?

那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Jihua Group's TSR for the last 5 years was -17%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

對於任何一支股票,考慮總股東回報以及股價回報至關重要。 TSR是一個回報計算,考慮到現金分紅的價值(假設任何獲得的分紅都被再投資),以及任何折扣資本籌集和股權分拆的計算價值。 因此,對於支付豐厚分紅的公司,TSR往往比股價回報高得多。 正如情況所發生的那樣,際華集團過去5年的TSR爲-17%,超過了前面提到的股價回報。 而無法猜測到的是,分紅支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧!

A Different Perspective

不同的觀點

Jihua Group shareholders are down 3.3% for the year (even including dividends), but the market itself is up 2.1%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. However, the loss over the last year isn't as bad as the 3% per annum loss investors have suffered over the last half decade. We'd need to see some sustained improvements in the key metrics before we could muster much enthusiasm. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Jihua Group (of which 1 doesn't sit too well with us!) you should know about.

際華集團股東今年下跌了3.3%(包括分紅),但市場本身上漲了2.1%。 即使優質股票的股價有時也會下跌,但我們希望在對一家企業的基本度量指標見到改善之前,不要過於感興趣。 然而,過去一年的虧損並不像投資者在過去半個十年中所遭受的每年3%的虧損那樣糟糕。 在我們能夠充滿熱情之前,我們需要看到關鍵度量指標的持續改善。 雖然考慮市場狀況可能對股價產生的不同影響是非常值得的,但有其他更重要的因素。 比如風險。 每家公司都有風險,我們已發現際華集團存在2個警示信號(其中有1個讓我們感到不太舒服!)您應該知道。

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).

如果您喜歡與管理層一起購買股票,那麼您可能會喜歡這個公司的免費列表。 (提示:其中許多公司不爲人注意且具有吸引力的估值。)

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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