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Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric Co., Ltd. (HKG:3898) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?

Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric Co., Ltd. (HKG:3898) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?

株洲中國中車時代電氣股份有限公司(HKG:3898)的股票表現強勁,但基本面不確定:未來會怎樣?
Simply Wall St ·  10/11 19:15

Most readers would already be aware that Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric's (HKG:3898) stock increased significantly by 29% over the past month. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. Specifically, we decided to study Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric's ROE in this article.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric is:

8.4% = CN¥3.6b ÷ CN¥43b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every HK$1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of HK$0.08.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric's Earnings Growth And 8.4% ROE

On the face of it, Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric's ROE is not much to talk about. Next, when compared to the average industry ROE of 12%, the company's ROE leaves us feeling even less enthusiastic. As a result, Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric reported a very low income growth of 4.7% over the past five years.

We then compared Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric's net income growth with the industry and found that the company's growth figure is lower than the average industry growth rate of 8.9% in the same 5-year period, which is a bit concerning.

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SEHK:3898 Past Earnings Growth October 11th 2024

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. If you're wondering about Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

While Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric has a decent three-year median payout ratio of 29% (or a retention ratio of 71%), it has seen very little growth in earnings. Therefore, there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

Moreover, Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company is expected to rise to 37% over the next three years. However, Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric's future ROE is expected to rise to 10% despite the expected increase in the company's payout ratio. We infer that there could be other factors that could be driving the anticipated growth in the company's ROE.

Conclusion

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric's performance. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. Having said that, looking at the current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings are expected to gain momentum. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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