Tesla CEO Elon Musk Defends His Time-Based Predictions Amidst Delays: 'Very Rare That A Prediction I Make Does Not Come True Over Time'
Tesla CEO Elon Musk Defends His Time-Based Predictions Amidst Delays: 'Very Rare That A Prediction I Make Does Not Come True Over Time'
Elon Musk, CEO of Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA), defended his time-based predictions, highlighting that his forecasts are often realized, albeit not always on schedule.
特斯拉公司(納斯達克股票代碼:TSLA)首席執行官埃隆·馬斯克(Elon Musk)爲自己基於時間的預測進行辯護,強調他的預測經常能實現,儘管不總是按計劃進行。
What Happened: Musk took to X to explain his approach to time-based predictions. He stated that he typically targets the 50% percentile date, meaning half his predictions will be late, and half will be early.
發生了什麼:馬斯克向X解釋了他對時間預測的方法。他表示,他通常以50%的日期爲目標,這意味着他的預測有一半會延遲,另一半會提前。
Musk expressed frustration that the media tends to focus on late predictions, creating a perception that he is consistently behind schedule.
馬斯克表達了對媒體傾向於關注延遲預測的失望,造成了一個他一直在推遲進度的印象。
"The press never mentions the predictions that were early, so it seems like I'm always late," he said.
「媒體從不提及那些提前實現的預測,所以看起來我總是晚點,」他說。
"It is very rare that a prediction I make does not come true over time."
「我做出的預測很少有一次不會隨着時間的推移變爲現實。」
Why It Matters: Musk's post comes in the wake of several recent delays at Tesla. In August, the company announced a delay in the rollout of its full self-driving (FSD) driver assistance technology for its Cybertruck vehicles, originally scheduled by Musk for an earlier date.
重要性何在:馬斯克的發帖出現在特斯拉最近幾次延遲之後。今年8月,公司宣佈了全自動駕駛(FSD)駕駛員輔助技術在其Cybertruck車輛上推出的延遲,最初由馬斯克安排在較早的日期進行。
In July, Musk confirmed a delay in Tesla's robotaxi unveiling due to design changes. In June, Musk announced that a refreshed Model Y would not be launched this year, contrary to expectations.
7月,馬斯克確認特斯拉的robotaxi發佈推遲,原因是設計更改。6月,馬斯克宣佈刷新版的Model Y不會在今年推出,與預期相反。
In April, Musk revealed that Tesla was in talks with a major automaker to license its FSD software, but deployment would take time.
4月,馬斯克透露特斯拉正在與一家大型汽車製造商討論許可其FSD軟件的問題,但部署需要時間。
However, as Musk points out, his predictions often come true eventually, as seen with the ongoing discussions for FSD licensing.
然而,正如馬斯克指出的,他的預測通常最終會實現,正如目前就FSD許可討論所看到的那樣。
Tesla's highly anticipated new Roadster has also been delayed multiple times, with Musk saying back in 2021 that the car would ship in 2023. However, that is yet to come to pass.
特斯拉備受期待的新Roadster也多次推遲,馬斯克在2021年表示該車將於2023年發貨。然而,迄今爲止尚未實現。
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