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Muyuan Foods (SZSE:002714) Will Want To Turn Around Its Return Trends

Muyuan Foods (SZSE:002714) Will Want To Turn Around Its Return Trends

牧原股份(SZSE:002714)希望扭轉其回報趨勢
Simply Wall St ·  10/12 21:52

Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key financial metrics. Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. In light of that, when we looked at Muyuan Foods (SZSE:002714) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.

找到一個有潛力大幅增長的企業並不容易,但如果我們關注一些關鍵的財務指標,是可能的。首先,我們想要確定一個增長的資本僱用回報率(ROCE),然後在此基礎上,一個不斷增長的資本僱用基礎。最終,這表明這是一個正在以增加的投資回報率再投資利潤的企業。基於這一點,當我們看了牧原股份(SZSE:002714)及其ROCE趨勢時,並不是特別激動。

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?

資本僱用回報率(ROCE)是什麼?

For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Muyuan Foods:

對於那些不確定什麼是ROCE的人,它衡量的是公司可以從其業務中使用的資本獲得的稅前利潤的數量。分析師使用這個公式爲牧原股份計算它:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

資產僱用回報率(ROCE)是指企業利潤,即企業稅前利潤除以企業投入的總資本(負債加股權)。如果ROCE高於企業財務成本的承受能力,那麼企業就會創造出更多的價值。

0.03 = CN¥3.0b ÷ (CN¥192b - CN¥92b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

0.03 = 30億人民幣 ÷ (1920億人民幣 - 92億人民幣)(基於2024年6月的過去十二個月)。

Therefore, Muyuan Foods has an ROCE of 3.0%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Food industry average of 7.2%.

因此,牧原股份的ROCE爲3.0%。最終,這是一個低迴報率,表現不及食品行業的平均水平7.2%。

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SZSE:002714 Return on Capital Employed October 13th 2024
SZSE:002714資本僱用回報率2024年10月13日

In the above chart we have measured Muyuan Foods' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for Muyuan Foods .

在上面的圖表中,我們已經測量了牧原股份之前的ROCE與其之前的表現進行比較,但未來可能更重要。如果您感興趣,您可以查看我們爲牧原股份提供的免費分析師報告中的分析師預測。

The Trend Of ROCE

當尋找下一個倍增器時,如果您不確定從哪裏開始,請關注幾個關鍵趨勢。首先,我們希望看到一個經過驗證的資本使用率。如果您看到這一點,通常意味着這是一家擁有出色業務模式和大量盈利再投資機會的公司。然而,調查蒙托克可再生能源公司(NASDAQ:MNTK)後,我們認爲它的現行趨勢不符合倍增器的模式。

We weren't thrilled with the trend because Muyuan Foods' ROCE has reduced by 51% over the last five years, while the business employed 518% more capital. However, some of the increase in capital employed could be attributed to the recent capital raising that's been completed prior to their latest reporting period, so keep that in mind when looking at the ROCE decrease. Muyuan Foods probably hasn't received a full year of earnings yet from the new funds it raised, so these figures should be taken with a grain of salt.

我們對這一趨勢並不滿意,因爲在過去五年中,牧原股份的ROCE下降了51%,而業務使用的資本增加了518%。然而,資本增加的一部分可能歸因於最近完成的資本增值,所以在看到ROCE下降時要牢記這一點。牧原股份可能還沒有從其最新募集的資金中獲得全年收益,因此這些數據應該持保留態度。

On a separate but related note, it's important to know that Muyuan Foods has a current liabilities to total assets ratio of 48%, which we'd consider pretty high. This effectively means that suppliers (or short-term creditors) are funding a large portion of the business, so just be aware that this can introduce some elements of risk. Ideally we'd like to see this reduce as that would mean fewer obligations bearing risks.

另外需要了解的是,牧原股份目前的流動負債佔總資產比率爲48%,我們認爲這相當高。這實際上意味着供應商(或短期債權人)正在爲業務提供大部分資金,因此請注意這可能帶來一些風險因素。理想情況下,我們希望看到這一比率降低,因爲那將意味着減少了承擔風險的義務。

In Conclusion...

最後,同等資本下回報率較低的趨勢通常不是我們關注創業板股票的最佳信號。由於這些發展進行良好,因此投資者不太可能表現友好。自五年前以來,該股下跌了32%。除非這些指標朝着更積極的軌跡轉變,否則我們將繼續尋找其他股票。

We're a bit apprehensive about Muyuan Foods because despite more capital being deployed in the business, returns on that capital and sales have both fallen. Despite the concerning underlying trends, the stock has actually gained 20% over the last five years, so it might be that the investors are expecting the trends to reverse. Either way, we aren't huge fans of the current trends and so with that we think you might find better investments elsewhere.

我們對牧原股份有些擔憂,因爲儘管業務中投入了更多資本,但資本的回報率和銷售額都有所下降。儘管存在令人擔憂的潛在趨勢,但股票在過去五年中實際上上漲了20%,因此投資者可能正期待這些趨勢逆轉。無論如何,我們並不是當前趨勢的鐵桿支持者,所以我們認爲您可能會在其他地方找到更好的投資。

If you want to continue researching Muyuan Foods, you might be interested to know about the 1 warning sign that our analysis has discovered.

如果您想要繼續研究牧原股份,您可能會對我們分析發現的一個警示標誌感興趣。

While Muyuan Foods isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.

雖然牧原股份的回報率不是最高的,但請查看此免費的公司列表,這些公司具有實力的資產負債表,可以獲得高回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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