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While Shareholders of Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group (HKG:1385) Are in the Black Over 5 Years, Those Who Bought a Week Ago Aren't so Fortunate

While Shareholders of Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group (HKG:1385) Are in the Black Over 5 Years, Those Who Bought a Week Ago Aren't so Fortunate

上海復旦微電子集團(HKG:1385)的股東在過去5年中獲利,但那些一週前購買的人並不那麼幸運
Simply Wall St ·  2024/10/14 08:06

It's been a soft week for Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group Company Limited (HKG:1385) shares, which are down 17%. But that doesn't change the fact that shareholders have received really good returns over the last five years. Indeed, the share price is up an impressive 198% in that time. To some, the recent pullback wouldn't be surprising after such a fast rise. Only time will tell if there is still too much optimism currently reflected in the share price.

對於上海復旦微電子集團有限公司(HKG:1385)股份來說,本週表現低迷,下跌了17%。但這並不改變股東在過去五年中獲得了非常不錯的回報的事實。實際上,股價在此期間上漲了驚人的198%。對於一些人來說,在如此迅速的上漲之後,最近的回落並不令人意外。只有時間才能告訴我們,當前股價是否仍然反映了過多的樂觀情緒。

In light of the stock dropping 17% in the past week, we want to investigate the longer term story, and see if fundamentals have been the driver of the company's positive five-year return.

鑑於股價在過去一週內下跌了17%,我們希望調查更長期的情況,並看看基本面是否推動了公司五年來的積極回報。

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

市場有時毫無疑問是有效的,但股票價格並不總是反映基本業務表現。一種有缺陷但合理的方法是比較每股收益(EPS)和股票價格,以評估圍繞公司的情緒如何變化。

During the last half decade, Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group became profitable. That kind of transition can be an inflection point that justifies a strong share price gain, just as we have seen here. Given that the company made a profit three years ago, but not five years ago, it is worth looking at the share price returns over the last three years, too. In fact, the Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group stock price is 18% lower in the last three years. Meanwhile, EPS is up 25% per year. So there seems to be a mismatch between the positive EPS growth and the change in the share price, which is down -6% per year.

在過去的半個世紀,上海復旦微電子集團變得盈利。這種轉變可以是一個拐點,能夠證明股價的大幅增長,正如我們在這裏所見。考慮到公司三年前盈利,但五年前未盈利,值得看看過去三年內的股價回報率。實際上,上海復旦微電子集團的股價在過去三年中下跌了18%。與此同時,每股收益每年增長25%。因此,正收入增長與股價變動之間似乎存在不匹配,股價每年下跌6%。

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

您可以在下面的圖片中查看每股收益如何隨時間變化(單擊圖表以查看確切的價值)。

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SEHK:1385 Earnings Per Share Growth October 14th 2024
SEHK:1385每股收益增長2024年10月14日

Dive deeper into Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

通過查看上海復旦微電子集團的盈利、營業收入和現金流這個互動圖表,更深入了解上海復旦微電子集團的關鍵指標。

What About Dividends?

那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group, it has a TSR of 204% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

在考慮投資回報時,重要的是要考慮總股東回報率(TSR)和股價回報之間的差異。 TSR將任何剝離或折價增資的價值以及任何分紅的價值納入其中,基於分紅被再投資的假設。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司,TSR通常比股價回報高得多。就上海復旦微電子集團而言,過去5年其TSR達到204%。這超過了我們之前提到的股價回報。這在很大程度上是其分紅支付的結果!

A Different Perspective

不同的觀點

Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group provided a TSR of 22% over the year (including dividends). That's fairly close to the broader market return. It has to be noted that the recent return falls short of the 25% shareholders have gained each year, over half a decade. More recently, the share price growth has slowed. But it has to be said the overall picture is one of good long term and short term performance. Arguably that makes Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group a stock worth watching. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should be aware of the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group .

上海復旦微電子集團在過去一年提供了22%的TSR(包括分紅)。這與更廣泛市場回報相當接近。必須指出,最近的回報低於股東每年獲得的25%的回報,在過去的五年中,平均每年擁有的回報超過25%。最近,股價增長放緩。但必須說總體情況表現良好,長期和短期業績均表現良好。可以說,這使得上海復旦微電子集團成爲值得關注的股票。我覺得看待股價的長期表現作爲業務績效的替代方法非常有趣。但要真正獲得洞察力,我們還需要考慮其他信息。因此,您應該注意我們發現的與上海復旦微電子集團有關的3個警告信號。

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of undervalued companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

對於那些喜歡尋找獲勝投資的人來說,最近有內部購買的低估公司免費列表可能是一個很好的選擇。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了當前在香港證券交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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